TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129580
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Skorupa
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811311611––––
Piotr Gesiarz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Gesiarz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
811311611––––
H2H Jakub Skorupa 4–5 Piotr Gesiarz Jakub Skorupa has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:03What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Gesiarz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorupa 1458 vs Gesiarz 1347
Skorupa
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorupa 60% vs Gesiarz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorupa 70% vs Gesiarz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorupa -1 · Gesiarz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gesiarz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorupa 1.86 / Gesiarz 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gesiarz)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13129580
Skorupa1.86
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 96 of 292
Down 0–1, comes back15% 25 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 97
Gesiarz1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 64 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it76% 55 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSkorupa4wins
AwayGesiarz5wins
Gesiarz leads 5–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorupa100%3 of 3
AwayGesiarz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorupa3Gesiarz6n = 9Gesiarz took 6 of 9
S2Skorupa3Gesiarz6n = 9Gesiarz took 6 of 9
S3Skorupa2Gesiarz7n = 9Gesiarz took 7 of 9
S4Skorupa4Gesiarz0n = 4Skorupa took 4 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away556%
These 9 meetings
MetricSkorupaGesiarzS − GBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match31.237.3−6.1per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorupaGesiarzBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 644 vs 143 / 30648.3%46.7%311 / 644 vs 143 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GesiarzSkorupa 1.86/Gesiarz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gesiarz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gesiarz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 13 · 02:10J. Skorupa238690P. Gesiarz331111113
WSep 12 · 20:05J. Skorupa5271218153P. Gesiarz50111016131
LAug 23 · 02:35J. Skorupa143560P. Gesiarz331111113
LAug 22 · 18:10J. Skorupa183780P. Gesiarz331111113
LAug 19 · 24:20J. Skorupa2012260P. Gesiarz361411113
WAug 18 · 20:20J. Skorupa47111114113P. Gesiarz41881691
WAug 1 · 22:10J. Skorupa4911197123P. Gesiarz4791711101
WAug 1 · 19:40J. Skorupa3912511113P. Gesiarz301011631
LJul 27 · 20:20J. Skorupa194780P. Gesiarz331111113
J. Skorupa10
WSep 15 · 20:20M. Brunner2.056590J. Skorupa1.661111113WSep 15 · 19:30J. Skorupa1.62911912113M. Karpiuk2.06117111082LSep 13 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.831111113J. Skorupa1.838690WSep 13 · 01:25D. Maszczynski3.40111060J. Skorupa1.301312113WSep 12 · 23:20K. Gudzik1.6161260J. Skorupa2.201114113LSep 12 · 22:35T. Kocik1.221111113J. Skorupa4.004680WSep 12 · 21:00G. Mucha1.619141114102J. Skorupa2.201116512123WSep 12 · 20:05P. Gesiarz1.61111016131J. Skorupa2.2071218153WSep 12 · 19:20D. Maszczynski3.25114531J. Skorupa1.3391111113WSep 12 · 17:20K. Gudzik1.6111113892J. Skorupa2.20641111113
P. Gesiarz10
WSep 15 · 19:10P. Gesiarz1.85971111113M. Baran1.8511114852LSep 14 · 20:20P. Gesiarz2.3531060A. Zmijewski1.501112113WSep 14 · 18:45J. Cyndera1.8069111142P. Gesiarz1.90111199113WSep 14 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.417311101P. Gesiarz2.5511115123WSep 14 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.461111113A. Staniczek2.425350LSep 14 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.28115991D. Maszczynski3.1581111113WSep 13 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.831111113J. Skorupa1.838690WSep 13 · 24:35K. Gudzik1.61117481P. Gesiarz2.0861111113LSep 12 · 23:45G. Mucha1.671111113P. Gesiarz2.109880LSep 12 · 20:05P. Gesiarz1.61111016131J. Skorupa2.2071218153
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