TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134320
Played Sep 15Finished
Marian Brunner
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511911––––
Jakub Skorupa
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Skorupa to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
611511911––––
H2H Marian Brunner 6–18 Jakub Skorupa Marian Brunner has won 6 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Skorupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-18 in 24
Skorupa
Correct
gap of 12 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brunner 1323 vs Skorupa 1445
Skorupa
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brunner 80% vs Skorupa 60%
Brunner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brunner 60% vs Skorupa 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brunner -1 · Skorupa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skorupa) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brunner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrunner 2.05 / Skorupa 1.66
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Skorupa)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13134320
Brunner2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 45 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Skorupa1.66
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 148 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it76% 97 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrunner2wins
AwaySkorupa8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSkorupa leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrunner25%2 of 8
AwaySkorupan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brunner8Skorupa2n = 10Brunner took 8 of 10
S2Brunner5Skorupa5n = 10split evenly
S3Brunner2Skorupa8n = 10Skorupa took 8 of 10
S4Brunner3Skorupa4n = 7Skorupa took 4 of 7
S5Brunner0Skorupa5n = 5Skorupa took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrunnerSkorupaB − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.239.1−2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrunnerSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 563 vs 312 / 64649.9%48.3%281 / 563 vs 312 / 646Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaBrunner 2.05/Skorupa 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Skorupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skorupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 04:20M. Brunner3941241182J. Skorupa511110118113
LAug 4 · 18:45M. Brunner4611881182J. Skorupa47711117113
LJul 22 · 04:20M. Brunner135260J. Skorupa331111113
LJul 21 · 18:45M. Brunner361178101J. Skorupa4281111123
LJul 15 · 24:20M. Brunner48111187112J. Skorupa48761111133
WJul 14 · 20:20M. Brunner331111113J. Skorupa279990
LJul 8 · 02:45M. Brunner38111041122J. Skorupa44612114113
LJul 7 · 23:05M. Brunner33116791J. Skorupa3741111113
WJul 1 · 03:30M. Brunner331111113J. Skorupa136610
LJun 30 · 21:30M. Brunner43111141162J. Skorupa49771113113
M. Brunner10
LSep 15 · 21:30M. Brunner2.106101141P. Gesiarz1.6011128113LSep 15 · 18:45M. Brunner2.0513101481J. Michalik1.66151212113WSep 15 · 17:30M. Brunner2.191112113M. Baran1.5591080WSep 9 · 04:20M. Machelski2.0911811332M. Brunner1.68611311113WSep 9 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.29461131M. Brunner3.1011118113WSep 9 · 02:45M. Brunner1.7771111113A. Krezel1.87118891WSep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.2111116113A. Barton3.65591151LSep 9 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.7751111113M. Brunner1.87116391LSep 8 · 23:05M. Brunner1.801111921A. Krezel1.9071311113LSep 8 · 21:30M. Brunner3.257117161H. Tkaczyk1.3011611183
J. Skorupa10
LSep 15 · 21:05J. Michalik1.8611113113J. Skorupa1.80971181WSep 15 · 19:30J. Skorupa1.62911912113M. Karpiuk2.06117111082LSep 15 · 18:20J. Skorupa1.868360P. Gesiarz1.831111113LSep 13 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.831111113J. Skorupa1.838690WSep 13 · 01:25D. Maszczynski3.40111060J. Skorupa1.301312113WSep 12 · 23:20K. Gudzik1.6161260J. Skorupa2.201114113LSep 12 · 22:35T. Kocik1.221111113J. Skorupa4.004680WSep 12 · 21:00G. Mucha1.619141114102J. Skorupa2.201116512123WSep 12 · 20:05P. Gesiarz1.61111016131J. Skorupa2.2071218153WSep 12 · 19:20D. Maszczynski3.25114531J. Skorupa1.3391111113
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