TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125260
Played Sep 14Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.07
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210311911811––
Kazimierz Rybak
Away
7.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:10 and never touched — 85.9% is still 85.9%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
85.9%
85.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Kazimierz Rybak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 85.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 14–0 Kazimierz Rybak Kazimierz Rybak has won 0 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:10What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (88%)
Lewczuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-0 in 14
Lewczuk
Wrong
gap of 14 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1402 vs Rybak 1040
Lewczuk
Wrong
both rated, 362 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 60% vs Rybak 0%
Lewczuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 60% vs Rybak 0%
Lewczuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -1 · Rybak -5
Rybak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Lewczuk) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybak form (0%) is below what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.07 / Rybak 7.50
Signal prob.91% / 10%
Edge (Lewczuk)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13125260
Lewczuk1.07
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 163 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it84% 123 of 147
Rybak7.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog21% won 51 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back8% 12 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk10wins
AwayRybak0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk100%7 of 7
AwayRybak0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk7Rybak3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S2Lewczuk10Rybak0n = 10Lewczuk took 10 of 10
S3Lewczuk9Rybak1n = 10Lewczuk took 9 of 10
S4Lewczuk2Rybak1n = 3Lewczuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukRybakL − RBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.828.8+10.0per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukRybakBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 954 vs 116 / 49651.5%23.4%491 / 954 vs 116 / 496Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.432.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.07/Rybak 7.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
90.5%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rybak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 18:30M. Lewczuk421212183K. Rybak361010160
WAug 19 · 22:10M. Lewczuk331111113K. Rybak218670
WJun 28 · 01:45M. Lewczuk331111113K. Rybak154650
WJun 27 · 16:15M. Lewczuk341112113K. Rybak2481060
WJun 24 · 23:45M. Lewczuk331111113K. Rybak218940
WJun 24 · 15:50M. Lewczuk331111113K. Rybak218760
WMar 27 · 03:45M. Lewczuk521111811113K. Rybak4713711882
WMar 27 · 24:05M. Lewczuk4051311113K. Rybak361111591
WDec 27 · 03:00M. Lewczuk559111113113K. Rybak5211991582
WDec 26 · 17:25M. Lewczuk331111113K. Rybak152760
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 14 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.38911911113M. Guzik1.5311811962LSep 13 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.537111111112G. Mucha2.38117135133WSep 13 · 22:10M. Karpiuk3.251511103112M. Lewczuk1.331391211133LSep 13 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.731112951A. Kubiak2.00131011113WSep 13 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.36111112113M. Karpiuk3.00651471WSep 13 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.061212183K. Rybak8.001010160WSep 13 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.5011711173G. Mucha2.505116151WSep 13 · 16:15M. Guzik1.571061271M. Lewczuk2.25121110113LSep 13 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.73861191A. Kubiak2.0011119113LSep 11 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.6711911113M. Lewczuk2.10911581
K. Rybak10
LSep 14 · 02:10K. Rybak4.501110851G. Mucha1.1771211113LSep 13 · 23:45M. Karpiuk1.2811811113K. Rybak3.50811771LSep 13 · 22:55K. Rybak6.008750A. Kubiak1.111111113LSep 13 · 21:45K. Rybak7.5011181192M. Guzik1.07118118113LSep 13 · 20:05K. Rybak5.0012111071G. Mucha1.14101312113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.061212183K. Rybak8.001010160LSep 13 · 17:45M. Guzik1.057111311113K. Rybak8.5011815482LSep 13 · 16:55K. Rybak6.00119971A. Kubiak1.1161111113LSep 13 · 15:50K. Rybak3.255890M. Karpiuk1.331111113LAug 20 · 02:35K. Rybak4.00811871A. Zmijewski1.2211511113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk
Sep 14 · 15:25M. Lewczuk—J. Zelezik——Sep 14 · 16:15M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——Sep 14 · 17:20M. Lewczuk—G. Mucha——Sep 14 · 18:30M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——Sep 14 · 19:40M. Lewczuk—M. Karpiuk——Sep 14 · 21:20M. Lewczuk—J. Zelezik——Sep 14 · 22:10M. Lewczuk—M. Karpiuk——Sep 14 · 23:10M. Lewczuk—G. Mucha——Sep 15 · 24:10M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——Sep 15 · 01:10M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——
K. Rybak
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