Kazimierz Rybak vs Artur Zmijewski 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #12459270

Played Aug 20Finished

Kazimierz Rybak

Home

4.00

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 5

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

811115811711––

Artur Zmijewski

Away

1.22

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 80.1% is still 80.1%

Graded at full time

Artur Zmijewski to win

80.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingKazimierz Rybak above · Artur Zmijewski below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Artur Zmijewski at 80.1%

72 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:40

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.22 (77%)

Zmijewski

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Rybak 1006 vs Zmijewski 1447

Zmijewski

Correct

both rated, 441 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Rybak 0% vs Zmijewski 80%

Zmijewski

Correct

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Rybak 10% vs Zmijewski 60%

Zmijewski

Correct

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Rybak -5 · Zmijewski +4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Rybak form (0%) is below what odds imply (25%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRybak 4.00 / Zmijewski 1.22

Signal prob.16% / 84%

Edge (Zmijewski)+7.0pp

TT Elite Series · #12459270

Rybak4.00

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog22% won 58 of 260

Down 0–1, comes back9% 15 of 162

Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 109

Zmijewski1.22

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite67% won 10 of 15

Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6

Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricRybakZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 487 vs 24 / 4423.8%54.6%116 / 487 vs 24 / 44Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.938.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Zmijewski

Rybak 4.00/Zmijewski 1.22

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

83.6%

Zmijewski · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Zmijewski won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

K. Rybak10