TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12457926
Played Aug 19Finished
Kazimierz Rybak
Home
6.80
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911111711––––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:50 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
911111711––––
H2H Kazimierz Rybak 1–6 Jacek Zelezik Kazimierz Rybak has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:50What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (87%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rybak 1003 vs Zelezik 1509
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 506 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybak 0% vs Zelezik 60%
Zelezik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybak 10% vs Zelezik 60%
Zelezik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybak -5 · Zelezik -1
Rybak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 95% — Strong (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (60%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybak 6.80 / Zelezik 1.06
Signal prob.5% / 95%
Edge (Zelezik)+8.5pp
TT Elite Series · #12457926
Rybak6.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 57 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back10% 15 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 103
Zelezik1.06
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 138 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it97% 85 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it82% 114 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeRybak1wins
AwayZelezik6wins
1 of 7 to a deciderZelezik leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRybakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZelezik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rybak1Zelezik6n = 7Zelezik took 6 of 7
S2Rybak1Zelezik6n = 7Zelezik took 6 of 7
S3Rybak2Zelezik5n = 7Zelezik took 5 of 7
S4Rybak1Zelezik3n = 4Zelezik took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricRybakZelezikR − ZBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match26.936.9−10.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybakZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 480 vs 297 / 57324%51.8%115 / 480 vs 297 / 573Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.035.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikRybak 6.80/Zelezik 1.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
95%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 18 · 19:55K. Rybak164840J. Zelezik331111113
WJul 27 · 01:45K. Rybak48691111113J. Zelezik4411117782
LJul 26 · 16:15K. Rybak23411441J. Zelezik4211911113
LJun 24 · 03:05K. Rybak2210660J. Zelezik341211113
LJun 23 · 21:05K. Rybak174490J. Zelezik331111113
LMar 27 · 02:30K. Rybak28841151J. Zelezik3411111113
LMar 26 · 20:30K. Rybak341194101J. Zelezik3841111123
K. Rybak10
LSep 13 · 15:50K. Rybak3.255890M. Karpiuk1.331111113LAug 20 · 02:35K. Rybak4.00811871A. Zmijewski1.2211511113LAug 20 · 01:00K. Rybak8.508380J. Zelezik1.051111113LAug 19 · 23:45K. Rybak3.008670A. Staniczek1.361111113LAug 19 · 22:10K. Rybak7.008670M. Lewczuk1.081111113LAug 19 · 21:00K. Rybak4.009990K. Kwiatkowski1.221111113LAug 19 · 04:20K. Rybak3.07117791P. Gesiarz1.3391111113WAug 19 · 03:05K. Rybak4.3711119113J. Skorupa1.18951171LAug 19 · 24:45K. Kwiatkowski1.35113117113K. Rybak2.9071171162LAug 18 · 23:55K. Rybak6.25115111072Z. Nocun1.08911712113
J. Zelezik10
WSep 11 · 04:40M. Guzik1.5831110111J. Zelezik2.2411812133WSep 11 · 03:55M. Machelski2.75131110101J. Zelezik1.3715612123LSep 11 · 01:55H. Tkaczyk1.561111113J. Zelezik2.197980WSep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik1.9011712972J. Zelezik1.805111011113WSep 10 · 23:30W. Stechly4.706840J. Zelezik1.131111113WSep 10 · 22:40M. Guzik1.387890J. Zelezik2.651111113LSep 10 · 21:55M. Machelski2.501112113J. Zelezik1.4781070LSep 10 · 19:55H. Tkaczyk1.5510111111113J. Zelezik2.1912137552LSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2811711113J. Zelezik3.15611591WAug 20 · 01:00K. Rybak8.508380J. Zelezik1.051111113
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J. Zelezik
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