TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12458230
Played Aug 19Finished
Kazimierz Rybak
Home
4.37
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115911117––
Jakub Skorupa
Away
1.18
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:58 and never touched — 79.5% is still 79.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Skorupa to win
79.5%
79.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
119115911117––
H2H Kazimierz Rybak 1–7 Jakub Skorupa Kazimierz Rybak has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:58What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.18 (79%)
Skorupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Skorupa
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rybak 1001 vs Skorupa 1349
Skorupa
Wrong
both rated, 348 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybak 0% vs Skorupa 40%
Skorupa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybak 10% vs Skorupa 50%
Skorupa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybak -5 · Skorupa +1
Rybak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Skorupa) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (85%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybak 4.37 / Skorupa 1.18
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Skorupa)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12458230
Rybak4.37
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 57 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back10% 15 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 103
Skorupa1.18
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 128 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it93% 63 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it77% 85 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeRybak1wins
AwaySkorupa7wins
4 of 8 to a deciderSkorupa leads 7–1, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRybakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkorupa100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rybak2Skorupa6n = 8Skorupa took 6 of 8
S2Rybak3Skorupa5n = 8Skorupa took 5 of 8
S3Rybak3Skorupa5n = 8Skorupa took 5 of 8
S4Rybak4Skorupa2n = 6Rybak took 4 of 6
S5Rybak0Skorupa4n = 4Skorupa took 4 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away450%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricRybakSkorupaR − SBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match39.242.0−2.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybakSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 481 vs 251 / 50423.9%49.8%115 / 481 vs 251 / 504Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaRybak 4.37/Skorupa 1.18
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
89.7%
Skorupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rybak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 18 · 21:05K. Rybak259880J. Skorupa331111113
LAug 6 · 23:10K. Rybak4311681172J. Skorupa48811117113
LAug 6 · 17:20K. Rybak4591111772J. Skorupa40116111113
WJul 31 · 24:20K. Rybak4111118113J. Skorupa33951181
LJul 30 · 20:20K. Rybak47111191152J. Skorupa50136119113
LJun 30 · 23:30K. Rybak257990J. Skorupa331111113
LJun 30 · 19:10K. Rybak411391271J. Skorupa47151110113
LJun 25 · 22:35K. Rybak4797161142J. Skorupa521111145113
K. Rybak10
LSep 13 · 15:50K. Rybak3.255890M. Karpiuk1.331111113LAug 20 · 02:35K. Rybak4.00811871A. Zmijewski1.2211511113LAug 20 · 01:00K. Rybak8.508380J. Zelezik1.051111113LAug 19 · 23:45K. Rybak3.008670A. Staniczek1.361111113LAug 19 · 22:10K. Rybak7.008670M. Lewczuk1.081111113LAug 19 · 21:00K. Rybak4.009990K. Kwiatkowski1.221111113LAug 19 · 04:20K. Rybak3.07117791P. Gesiarz1.3391111113LAug 19 · 01:55K. Rybak6.809170J. Zelezik1.061111113LAug 19 · 24:45K. Kwiatkowski1.35113117113K. Rybak2.9071171162LAug 18 · 23:55K. Rybak6.25115111072Z. Nocun1.08911712113
J. Skorupa10
LSep 13 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.831111113J. Skorupa1.838690WSep 13 · 01:25D. Maszczynski3.40111060J. Skorupa1.301312113WSep 12 · 23:20K. Gudzik1.6161260J. Skorupa2.201114113LSep 12 · 22:35T. Kocik1.221111113J. Skorupa4.004680WSep 12 · 21:00G. Mucha1.619141114102J. Skorupa2.201116512123WSep 12 · 20:05P. Gesiarz1.61111016131J. Skorupa2.2071218153WSep 12 · 19:20D. Maszczynski3.25114531J. Skorupa1.3391111113WSep 12 · 17:20K. Gudzik1.6111113892J. Skorupa2.20641111113WSep 12 · 16:35G. Mucha1.671141341J. Skorupa2.1071115113LSep 12 · 15:00T. Kocik1.3011611113J. Skorupa3.40711811
Upcoming Matches
K. Rybak
Sep 13 · 16:55K. Rybak6.00A. Kubiak1.11—Sep 13 · 17:45K. Rybak8.50M. Guzik1.05—Sep 13 · 18:30K. Rybak8.00M. Lewczuk1.06—Sep 13 · 20:05K. Rybak5.00G. Mucha1.14—Sep 13 · 21:45K. Rybak8.50M. Guzik1.05—Sep 13 · 22:55K. Rybak6.00A. Kubiak1.11—Sep 13 · 23:45K. Rybak3.25M. Karpiuk1.33—Sep 14 · 24:35K. Rybak8.00M. Lewczuk1.06—Sep 14 · 02:10K. Rybak5.00G. Mucha1.14—
J. Skorupa
Nothing scheduled
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