TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12459249
Played Aug 19Finished
Kazimierz Rybak
Home
7.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611711––––
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Away
1.08
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:42 and never touched — 95.0% is still 95.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
95.0%
95.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKazimierz Rybak above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 95.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Kazimierz Rybak 0–11 Miroslaw Lewczuk Kazimierz Rybak has won 0 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-11 in 11
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 11 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rybak 1018 vs Lewczuk 1481
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 463 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybak 20% vs Lewczuk 40%
Lewczuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybak 10% vs Lewczuk 60%
Lewczuk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybak -2 · Lewczuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 95% — Strong (leans Lewczuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lewczuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybak 7.00 / Lewczuk 1.08
Signal prob.5% / 95%
Edge (Lewczuk)+8.4pp
TT Elite Series · #12459249
Rybak7.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog22% won 58 of 260
Down 0–1, comes back9% 15 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 109
Lewczuk1.08
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 157 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it85% 121 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRybak0wins
AwayLewczuk10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRybak0%0 of 3
AwayLewczuk100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rybak3Lewczuk7n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S2Rybak0Lewczuk10n = 10Lewczuk took 10 of 10
S3Rybak1Lewczuk9n = 10Lewczuk took 9 of 10
S4Rybak1Lewczuk2n = 3Lewczuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricRybakLewczukR − LBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.238.1−10.9per matchSweeps07−73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybakLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 484 vs 518 / 97724%53%116 / 484 vs 518 / 977Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukRybak 7.00/Lewczuk 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
95%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 27 · 16:15K. Rybak2481060M. Lewczuk341112113
LJun 24 · 23:45K. Rybak218940M. Lewczuk331111113
LJun 24 · 15:50K. Rybak218760M. Lewczuk331111113
LMar 27 · 03:45K. Rybak4713711882M. Lewczuk521111811113
LMar 27 · 24:05K. Rybak361111591M. Lewczuk4051311113
LDec 27 · 03:00K. Rybak5211991582M. Lewczuk559111113113
LDec 26 · 17:25K. Rybak152760M. Lewczuk331111113
LOct 21 · 23:30K. Rybak24410100M. Lewczuk351112123
LOct 21 · 19:10K. Rybak133460M. Lewczuk331111113
LOct 15 · 02:20K. Rybak196490M. Lewczuk331111113
K. Rybak10
LSep 13 · 15:50K. Rybak3.255890M. Karpiuk1.331111113LAug 20 · 02:35K. Rybak4.00811871A. Zmijewski1.2211511113LAug 20 · 01:00K. Rybak8.508380J. Zelezik1.051111113LAug 19 · 23:45K. Rybak3.008670A. Staniczek1.361111113LAug 19 · 21:00K. Rybak4.009990K. Kwiatkowski1.221111113LAug 19 · 04:20K. Rybak3.07117791P. Gesiarz1.3391111113WAug 19 · 03:05K. Rybak4.3711119113J. Skorupa1.18951171LAug 19 · 01:55K. Rybak6.809170J. Zelezik1.061111113LAug 19 · 24:45K. Kwiatkowski1.35113117113K. Rybak2.9071171162LAug 18 · 23:55K. Rybak6.25115111072Z. Nocun1.08911712113
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 13 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.73861191A. Kubiak2.0011119113LSep 11 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.6711911113M. Lewczuk2.10911581WSep 11 · 01:25A. Staniczek3.755540M. Lewczuk1.251111113WSep 10 · 23:20J. Cyndera1.918630M. Lewczuk1.801111113LSep 10 · 22:35K. Gudzik2.63412116113M. Lewczuk1.44111091152WSep 10 · 21:00M. Baran1.805640M. Lewczuk1.911111113WSep 10 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.73413110M. Lewczuk2.001115133WSep 10 · 19:20A. Staniczek3.50612851M. Lewczuk1.28111011113LSep 10 · 17:20J. Cyndera1.7311612113M. Lewczuk2.006111041WSep 10 · 16:35M. Baran1.8089111492M. Lewczuk1.911111512113
Upcoming Matches
K. Rybak
Sep 13 · 16:55K. Rybak6.00A. Kubiak1.11—Sep 13 · 17:45K. Rybak8.50M. Guzik1.05—Sep 13 · 18:30K. Rybak8.00M. Lewczuk1.06—Sep 13 · 20:05K. Rybak5.00G. Mucha1.14—Sep 13 · 21:45K. Rybak8.50M. Guzik1.05—Sep 13 · 22:55K. Rybak6.00A. Kubiak1.11—Sep 13 · 23:45K. Rybak3.25M. Karpiuk1.33—Sep 14 · 24:35K. Rybak8.00M. Lewczuk1.06—Sep 14 · 02:10K. Rybak5.00G. Mucha1.14—
M. Lewczuk
Sep 13 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.50G. Mucha2.50—Sep 13 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.06K. Rybak8.00—Sep 13 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.36M. Karpiuk3.00—Sep 13 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.73A. Kubiak2.00—Sep 13 · 22:10M. Lewczuk1.36M. Karpiuk3.00—Sep 13 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.50G. Mucha2.50—Sep 14 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.06K. Rybak8.00—Sep 14 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.25M. Guzik1.57—Sep 14 · 15:25M. Lewczuk—J. Zelezik——Sep 14 · 16:15M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——
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