TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123705
Played Sep 13Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.06
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
121012101816––––
Kazimierz Rybak
Away
8.00
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:09 and never touched — 85.9% is still 85.9%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
85.9%
85.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Kazimierz Rybak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 15-16
Point 75 set 3, 15-16 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 85.9%
75 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 13–0 Kazimierz Rybak Kazimierz Rybak has won 0 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-0 in 13
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 13 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1479 vs Rybak 1043
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 437 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 60% vs Rybak 0%
Lewczuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 70% vs Rybak 10%
Lewczuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk +2 · Rybak -5
Rybak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Lewczuk) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybak form (0%) is below what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.06 / Rybak 8.00
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Lewczuk)+2.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13123705
Lewczuk1.06
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 163 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it84% 123 of 147
Rybak8.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 51 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back8% 12 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk10wins
AwayRybak0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk100%7 of 7
AwayRybak0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk7Rybak3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S2Lewczuk10Rybak0n = 10Lewczuk took 10 of 10
S3Lewczuk9Rybak1n = 10Lewczuk took 9 of 10
S4Lewczuk2Rybak1n = 3Lewczuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukRybakL − RBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.127.6+10.5per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukRybakBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 949 vs 116 / 49151.4%23.6%488 / 949 vs 116 / 491Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.332.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.06/Rybak 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 22:10M. Lewczuk331111113K. Rybak218670
WJun 28 · 01:45M. Lewczuk331111113K. Rybak154650
WJun 27 · 16:15M. Lewczuk341112113K. Rybak2481060
WJun 24 · 23:45M. Lewczuk331111113K. Rybak218940
WJun 24 · 15:50M. Lewczuk331111113K. Rybak218760
WMar 27 · 03:45M. Lewczuk521111811113K. Rybak4713711882
WMar 27 · 24:05M. Lewczuk4051311113K. Rybak361111591
WDec 27 · 03:00M. Lewczuk559111113113K. Rybak5211991582
WDec 26 · 17:25M. Lewczuk331111113K. Rybak152760
WOct 21 · 23:30M. Lewczuk351112123K. Rybak24410100
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 13 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.36111112113M. Karpiuk3.00651471WSep 13 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.5011711173G. Mucha2.505116151WSep 13 · 16:15M. Guzik1.571061271M. Lewczuk2.25121110113LSep 13 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.73861191A. Kubiak2.0011119113LSep 11 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.6711911113M. Lewczuk2.10911581WSep 11 · 01:25A. Staniczek3.755540M. Lewczuk1.251111113WSep 10 · 23:20J. Cyndera1.918630M. Lewczuk1.801111113LSep 10 · 22:35K. Gudzik2.63412116113M. Lewczuk1.44111091152WSep 10 · 21:00M. Baran1.805640M. Lewczuk1.911111113WSep 10 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.73413110M. Lewczuk2.001115133
K. Rybak10
LSep 13 · 17:45M. Guzik1.057111311113K. Rybak8.5011815482LSep 13 · 16:55K. Rybak6.00119971A. Kubiak1.1161111113LSep 13 · 15:50K. Rybak3.255890M. Karpiuk1.331111113LAug 20 · 02:35K. Rybak4.00811871A. Zmijewski1.2211511113LAug 20 · 01:00K. Rybak8.508380J. Zelezik1.051111113LAug 19 · 23:45K. Rybak3.008670A. Staniczek1.361111113LAug 19 · 22:10K. Rybak7.008670M. Lewczuk1.081111113LAug 19 · 21:00K. Rybak4.009990K. Kwiatkowski1.221111113LAug 19 · 04:20K. Rybak3.07117791P. Gesiarz1.3391111113WAug 19 · 03:05K. Rybak4.3711119113J. Skorupa1.18951171
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk1 of 10 neutral
Sep 13 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.73A. Kubiak2.00—Sep 13 · 22:10M. Lewczuk1.36M. Karpiuk3.00—Sep 13 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.53G. Mucha2.38—Sep 14 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.07K. Rybak7.50—Sep 14 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.25M. Guzik1.57—Sep 14 · 15:25M. Lewczuk—J. Zelezik——Sep 14 · 16:15M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——Sep 14 · 17:20M. Lewczuk—G. Mucha——Sep 14 · 18:30M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——Sep 14 · 19:40M. Lewczuk—M. Karpiuk——
K. Rybak
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