TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123717
Played Sep 13Finished
Kazimierz Rybak
Home
6.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116911911711––
Artur Kubiak
Away
1.11
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:11 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeArtur Kubiak to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKazimierz Rybak above · Artur Kubiak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-9
Point 71 set 4, 5-9 — our read held Artur Kubiak at 75.5%
71 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Kazimierz Rybak 2–10 Artur Kubiak Kazimierz Rybak has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Kubiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-10 in 12
Kubiak
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rybak 989 vs Kubiak 1382
Kubiak
Correct
both rated, 393 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybak 0% vs Kubiak 60%
Kubiak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybak 10% vs Kubiak 40%
Kubiak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybak -5 · Kubiak +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Kubiak) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubiak form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybak 6.00 / Kubiak 1.11
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Kubiak)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13123717
Rybak6.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog21% won 51 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back8% 12 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 104
Kubiak1.11
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 157 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it95% 75 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it84% 109 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRybak1wins
AwayKubiak9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKubiak leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRybak33.3%1 of 3
AwayKubiak100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rybak3Kubiak7n = 10Kubiak took 7 of 10
S2Rybak2Kubiak8n = 10Kubiak took 8 of 10
S3Rybak2Kubiak8n = 10Kubiak took 8 of 10
S4Rybak2Kubiak4n = 6Kubiak took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRybakKubiakR − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.438.0−8.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybakKubiakBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 489 vs 503 / 91323.7%55.1%116 / 489 vs 503 / 913Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubiakRybak 6.00/Kubiak 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.9%
Kubiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kubiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 24 · 21:00K. Rybak177550A. Kubiak331111113
LJun 24 · 16:35K. Rybak209740A. Kubiak331111113
WJun 21 · 23:45K. Rybak3811412113A. Kubiak326111051
LJun 21 · 15:50K. Rybak29751161A. Kubiak4011117113
LApr 12 · 01:10K. Rybak28911441A. Kubiak3811511113
LApr 11 · 19:10K. Rybak2661190A. Kubiak351113113
LMar 15 · 24:35K. Rybak2111550A. Kubiak351311113
LMar 14 · 18:35K. Rybak38129981A. Kubiak43101111113
LJan 3 · 22:10K. Rybak4271151272A. Kubiak501171110113
LJan 3 · 17:50K. Rybak351195101A. Kubiak4171111123
K. Rybak10
LSep 13 · 15:50K. Rybak3.255890M. Karpiuk1.331111113LAug 20 · 02:35K. Rybak4.00811871A. Zmijewski1.2211511113LAug 20 · 01:00K. Rybak8.508380J. Zelezik1.051111113LAug 19 · 23:45K. Rybak3.008670A. Staniczek1.361111113LAug 19 · 22:10K. Rybak7.008670M. Lewczuk1.081111113LAug 19 · 21:00K. Rybak4.009990K. Kwiatkowski1.221111113LAug 19 · 04:20K. Rybak3.07117791P. Gesiarz1.3391111113WAug 19 · 03:05K. Rybak4.3711119113J. Skorupa1.18951171LAug 19 · 01:55K. Rybak6.809170J. Zelezik1.061111113LAug 19 · 24:45K. Kwiatkowski1.35113117113K. Rybak2.9071171162
A. Kubiak10
WSep 13 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.73861191A. Kubiak2.0011119113WSep 8 · 01:10M. Lewczuk1.80681191A. Kubiak1.9111119113WSep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik1.36111121392A. Kubiak3.001361111113LSep 7 · 23:50A. Kubiak2.63611581H. Tkaczyk1.4411211113LSep 7 · 22:30A. Kubiak1.73101250J. Skorupa2.001214113LSep 7 · 21:45M. Krutak1.7311179113A. Kubiak2.009151151LSep 7 · 20:30A. Kubiak2.6311148692H. Tkaczyk1.448121111113LSep 7 · 18:55A. Kubiak3.0031190J. Zelezik1.361113113LSep 7 · 17:45A. Kubiak2.101091161M. Krutak1.6712118113WSep 7 · 16:15A. Kubiak1.73111389113M. Lewczuk2.00411111132
Upcoming Matches
K. Rybak
A. Kubiak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.