TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136319
Played Sep 16Finished
Kazimierz Rybak
Home
4.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111513711116118
Jakub Skorupa
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Skorupa to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
6111513711116118
H2H Kazimierz Rybak 2–7 Jakub Skorupa Kazimierz Rybak has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:40What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (78%)
Skorupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Skorupa
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rybak 1046 vs Skorupa 1442
Skorupa
Wrong
both rated, 396 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybak 20% vs Skorupa 60%
Skorupa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybak 10% vs Skorupa 60%
Skorupa
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybak -3 · Skorupa -1
Rybak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Skorupa) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (60%) is below what odds imply (85%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybak 4.10 / Skorupa 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Skorupa)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13136319
Rybak4.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 52 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back8% 13 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 107
Skorupa1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 148 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it76% 97 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeRybak2wins
AwaySkorupa7wins
4 of 9 to a deciderSkorupa leads 7–2, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRybak66.7%2 of 3
AwaySkorupa100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rybak3Skorupa6n = 9Skorupa took 6 of 9
S2Rybak4Skorupa5n = 9Skorupa took 5 of 9
S3Rybak3Skorupa6n = 9Skorupa took 6 of 9
S4Rybak5Skorupa2n = 7Rybak took 5 of 7
S5Rybak0Skorupa4n = 4Skorupa took 4 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricRybakSkorupaR − SBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match39.640.9−1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybakSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 500 vs 315 / 65123.4%48.4%117 / 500 vs 315 / 651Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaRybak 4.10/Skorupa 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Skorupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rybak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 19 · 03:05K. Rybak4211119113J. Skorupa32951171
LAug 18 · 21:05K. Rybak259880J. Skorupa331111113
LAug 6 · 23:10K. Rybak4311681172J. Skorupa48811117113
LAug 6 · 17:20K. Rybak4591111772J. Skorupa40116111113
WJul 31 · 24:20K. Rybak4111118113J. Skorupa33951181
LJul 30 · 20:20K. Rybak47111191152J. Skorupa50136119113
LJun 30 · 23:30K. Rybak257990J. Skorupa331111113
LJun 30 · 19:10K. Rybak411391271J. Skorupa47151110113
LJun 25 · 22:35K. Rybak4797161142J. Skorupa521111145113
K. Rybak10
LSep 16 · 03:30K. Rybak3.45611451M. Brunner1.2311711113LSep 16 · 24:45K. Rybak3.951111681J. Michalik1.2013611113LSep 15 · 23:30K. Rybak4.001111681M. Baran1.1871311113LSep 14 · 02:10K. Rybak4.501110851G. Mucha1.1771211113WSep 14 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.07123981K. Rybak7.50101111113LSep 13 · 23:45M. Karpiuk1.2811811113K. Rybak3.50811771LSep 13 · 22:55K. Rybak6.008750A. Kubiak1.111111113LSep 13 · 21:45K. Rybak7.5011181192M. Guzik1.07118118113LSep 13 · 20:05K. Rybak5.0012111071G. Mucha1.14101312113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.061212183K. Rybak8.001010160
J. Skorupa10
WSep 16 · 03:05J. Michalik1.861181451J. Skorupa1.7891116113LSep 16 · 01:30J. Skorupa1.7111127682M. Karpiuk2.009101111113WSep 16 · 24:20J. Skorupa1.641111123M. Brunner2.0488100WSep 15 · 22:40J. Skorupa1.87111112133M. Baran1.8313510111LSep 15 · 21:05J. Michalik1.8611113113J. Skorupa1.80971181WSep 15 · 20:20M. Brunner2.056590J. Skorupa1.661111113WSep 15 · 19:30J. Skorupa1.62911912113M. Karpiuk2.06117111082LSep 15 · 18:20J. Skorupa1.868360P. Gesiarz1.831111113LSep 13 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.831111113J. Skorupa1.838690WSep 13 · 01:25D. Maszczynski3.40111060J. Skorupa1.301312113
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