TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140953
Played Sep 17Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.27
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611114114118––
Kazimierz Rybak
Away
3.43
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:44 and never touched — 82.5% is still 82.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
82.5%
82.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
611114114118––
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 12–0 Kazimierz Rybak Kazimierz Rybak has won 0 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Warzecha beat Rybak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (73%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-0 in 12
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 12 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1475 vs Rybak 1035
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 440 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 20% vs Rybak 0%
Warzecha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 50% vs Rybak 10%
Warzecha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha -3 · Rybak -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybak form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.27 / Rybak 3.43
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Warzecha)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13140953
Warzecha1.27
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 355 of 487
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it89% 263 of 296
Rybak3.43
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog20% won 53 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back9% 14 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarzecha10wins
AwayRybak0wins
Warzecha leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarzecha100%8 of 8
AwayRybakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha8Rybak2n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S2Warzecha9Rybak1n = 10Warzecha took 9 of 10
S3Warzecha9Rybak1n = 10Warzecha took 9 of 10
S4Warzecha4Rybak0n = 4Warzecha took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarzechaRybakW − RBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.923.9+13.0per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaRybakBasisWin rate · lifetime851 / 1203 vs 118 / 50970.7%23.2%851 / 1203 vs 118 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.41.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.133.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.27/Rybak 3.43
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.3%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 17:30M. Warzecha331111113K. Rybak193880
WJul 20 · 22:50M. Warzecha331111113K. Rybak194960
WJul 20 · 15:10M. Warzecha331111113K. Rybak178630
WJul 9 · 01:10M. Warzecha4181111113K. Rybak29117741
WJul 8 · 17:30M. Warzecha4111118113K. Rybak27641161
WApr 30 · 24:20M. Warzecha43111011113K. Rybak34712691
WApr 29 · 20:20M. Warzecha45121111113K. Rybak29146451
WApr 16 · 04:40M. Warzecha331111113K. Rybak229670
WApr 15 · 22:40M. Warzecha331111113K. Rybak237880
WNov 14 · 23:00M. Warzecha341111123K. Rybak2055100
M. Warzecha10
LSep 17 · 02:45M. Warzecha2.9010440A. Staniczek1.361211113LSep 17 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.8911911113M. Warzecha1.82511971LSep 16 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.21971161A. Staniczek3.6511113113LSep 16 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.3239100A. Krezel2.951111123WSep 16 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.85111166113Z. Nocun1.8087111172LSep 16 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.537720J. Slawomir2.231111113WSep 16 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.081111113K. Rybak5.653880LSep 15 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.3511711113M. Warzecha1.48611791WSep 15 · 01:10J. Michalik2.65581161M. Warzecha1.3811118113WSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871
K. Rybak10
WSep 17 · 01:55W. Stechly1.845560K. Rybak1.791111113LSep 16 · 23:30A. Krezel1.262011113K. Rybak3.2518550LSep 16 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.1271111123K. Rybak4.851149101LSep 16 · 21:55A. Staniczek1.41119414113K. Rybak2.60911111252LSep 16 · 19:55J. Slawomir1.1511711113K. Rybak4.35811771LSep 16 · 19:10A. Krezel1.26119911113K. Rybak3.2551111562LSep 16 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.081111113K. Rybak5.653880LSep 16 · 05:05K. Rybak2.27119961M. Karpiuk1.5791111113LSep 16 · 03:30K. Rybak3.45611451M. Brunner1.2311711113WSep 16 · 02:20K. Rybak4.10615711113J. Skorupa1.17111311682
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