TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141945
Played Sep 17Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
5.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119811119––
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.08
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 88.6% is still 88.6%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
88.6%
88.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
119119811119––
H2H Witold Stechly 6–64 Miroslaw Warzecha Witold Stechly has won 6 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:21What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (84%)
Warzecha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-64 in 70
Warzecha
Wrong
gap of 58 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1142 vs Warzecha 1461
Warzecha
Wrong
both rated, 320 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 40% vs Warzecha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 30% vs Warzecha 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly +1 · Warzecha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Warzecha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warzecha form (40%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 5.85 / Warzecha 1.08
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Warzecha)+4.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13141945
Stechly5.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 48 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back12% 19 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 109
Warzecha1.08
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 358 of 494
Up 2–0, closes it97% 203 of 210
Up 1–0, closes it89% 265 of 298
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly0wins
AwayWarzecha10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechly0%0 of 3
AwayWarzecha100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly3Warzecha7n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S2Stechly2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S3Stechly4Warzecha6n = 10Warzecha took 6 of 10
S4Stechly1Warzecha6n = 7Warzecha took 6 of 7
S5Stechly0Warzecha3n = 3Warzecha took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyWarzechaS − WBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.041.8−8.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 533 vs 851 / 120317.1%70.7%91 / 533 vs 851 / 1203Avg sets wonper match1.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match33.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaStechly 5.85/Warzecha 1.08
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
88.6%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stechly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 04:00W. Stechly4111411782M. Warzecha43511511113
LSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly185670M. Warzecha331111113
LAug 13 · 03:55W. Stechly258980M. Warzecha331111113
LAug 6 · 24:45W. Stechly388811111M. Warzecha4311118133
LJul 30 · 04:20W. Stechly2891180M. Warzecha351113113
LJul 23 · 04:20W. Stechly45513111152M. Warzecha541111813113
LJul 16 · 04:20W. Stechly30681151M. Warzecha3911116113
LJul 9 · 04:20W. Stechly3951171152M. Warzecha51119119113
LJul 2 · 04:20W. Stechly341181141M. Warzecha4491113113
LMay 28 · 03:30W. Stechly321155111M. Warzecha4381111133
W. Stechly10
WSep 17 · 03:05W. Stechly5.051011711113Z. Nocun1.1112111772LSep 17 · 01:55W. Stechly1.845560K. Rybak1.791111113LSep 17 · 24:45A. Krezel1.261111113W. Stechly3.259940LSep 16 · 23:55W. Stechly2.751151041A. Staniczek1.3671112113WSep 14 · 09:10W. Stechly2.10612178113D. Maszczynski1.601110151162LSep 14 · 07:50W. Stechly4.5054100J. Slawomir1.141111123LSep 14 · 06:50W. Stechly1.39111211642T. Kordaszewski2.60614611113WSep 14 · 05:30W. Stechly1.8211119123T. Przebierala1.859811101LSep 14 · 04:10W. Stechly5.709790H. Tkaczyk1.091111113LSep 14 · 03:10W. Stechly3.40112281M. Wolny1.2491111113
M. Warzecha10
WSep 17 · 03:30A. Krezel2.554890M. Warzecha1.451111113LSep 17 · 02:45M. Warzecha2.9010440A. Staniczek1.361211113WSep 17 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.2761111113K. Rybak3.43114481LSep 17 · 24:20Z. Nocun1.8911911113M. Warzecha1.82511971LSep 16 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.21971161A. Staniczek3.6511113113LSep 16 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.3239100A. Krezel2.951111123WSep 16 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.85111166113Z. Nocun1.8087111172LSep 16 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.537720J. Slawomir2.231111113WSep 16 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.081111113K. Rybak5.653880LSep 15 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.3511711113M. Warzecha1.48611791
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