TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145045
Played Sep 17Finished
Andrzej Krezel
Home
4.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210119––––
Dariusz Molenda
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1191210119––––
H2H Andrzej Krezel 0–1 Dariusz Molenda Andrzej Krezel has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (81%)
Molenda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1456 vs Molenda 1659
Molenda
Wrong
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 80% vs Molenda 100%
Molenda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 70% vs Molenda 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel +1 · Molenda +5
Molenda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molenda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 4.70 / Molenda 1.13
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Molenda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13145045
Krezel4.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 52 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back11% 12 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 68
Molenda1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite81% won 118 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 77 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it93% 102 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrezel0wins
AwayMolenda1wins
Molenda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKrezelMolendaK − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelMolendaBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 241 vs 218 / 27534.9%79.3%84 / 241 vs 218 / 275Avg sets wonper match1.62.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaKrezel 4.70/Molenda 1.13
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83.4%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 25 · 20:45A. Krezel218670D. Molenda331111113
A. Krezel10
WSep 17 · 05:05A. Krezel1.59891311113A. Staniczek2.12111111492LSep 17 · 03:30A. Krezel2.554890M. Warzecha1.451111113WSep 17 · 02:20A. Krezel2.60981111113Z. Nocun1.4011114642WSep 17 · 24:45A. Krezel1.261111113W. Stechly3.259940WSep 16 · 23:30A. Krezel1.262011113K. Rybak3.2518550LSep 16 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.80101111113A. Krezel1.91129461WSep 16 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.3239100A. Krezel2.951111123WSep 16 · 20:45A. Krezel1.601111113A. Staniczek2.108570WSep 16 · 19:10A. Krezel1.26119911113K. Rybak3.2551111562LSep 16 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.4261611113A. Krezel2.461114881
D. Molenda10
LSep 17 · 19:10D. Molenda1.3612311101J. Zelezik3.0014113123WSep 10 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.205840D. Molenda1.571111113WSep 10 · 21:30J. Michalik3.50131260D. Molenda1.251514113WSep 10 · 20:45D. Molenda1.1011811113M. Machelski5.20511261WSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2811711113J. Zelezik3.15611591WSep 10 · 18:20M. Guzik2.106650D. Molenda1.601111113LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113
Upcoming Matches
A. Krezel
Sep 17 · 19:30A. Krezel1.57A. Staniczek2.17—Sep 17 · 20:20A. Krezel1.89J. Michalik1.75—Sep 17 · 21:05A. Krezel1.95K. Kwiatkowski1.74—Sep 17 · 22:40A. Krezel2.60J. Zelezik1.39—Sep 18 · 24:20A. Krezel1.95J. Michalik1.70—Sep 18 · 01:30A. Krezel1.57A. Staniczek2.17—Sep 18 · 02:20A. Krezel2.90H. Tkaczyk1.33—Sep 18 · 03:05A. Krezel2.24K. Kwiatkowski1.53—
D. Molenda
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