TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141943
Played Sep 17Finished
Andrzej Krezel
Home
1.59
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8119111311114119
Adam Staniczek
Away
2.12
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrzej Krezel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
8119111311114119
H2H Andrzej Krezel 5–0 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Krezel beat Staniczek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.59 (57%)
Krezel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Krezel
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1449 vs Staniczek 1311
Krezel
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 60% vs Staniczek 80%
Staniczek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 70% vs Staniczek 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel -1 · Staniczek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Krezel) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 1.59 / Staniczek 2.12
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Krezel)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13141943
Krezel1.59
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 26 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Staniczek2.12
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 115 of 453
Down 0–1, comes back11% 32 of 287
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 214
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKrezel5wins
AwayStaniczek0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKrezel leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrezel100%5 of 5
AwayStaniczekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krezel5Staniczek0n = 5Krezel took 5 of 5
S2Krezel5Staniczek0n = 5Krezel took 5 of 5
S3Krezel2Staniczek3n = 5Staniczek took 3 of 5
S4Krezel2Staniczek1n = 3Krezel took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKrezelStaniczekK − SBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match39.430.0+9.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 240 vs 368 / 100934.6%36.5%83 / 240 vs 368 / 1009Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.133.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrezelKrezel 1.59/Staniczek 2.12
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.1%
Krezel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 16 · 20:45A. Krezel331111113A. Staniczek208570
WSep 8 · 01:35A. Krezel45111112113A. Staniczek39991471
WSep 7 · 19:35A. Krezel47111375113A. Staniczek45611111162
WAug 21 · 01:45A. Krezel3911113143A. Staniczek305211121
WAug 20 · 16:15A. Krezel331111113A. Staniczek165290
A. Krezel10
LSep 17 · 03:30A. Krezel2.554890M. Warzecha1.451111113WSep 17 · 02:20A. Krezel2.60981111113Z. Nocun1.4011114642WSep 17 · 24:45A. Krezel1.261111113W. Stechly3.259940WSep 16 · 23:30A. Krezel1.262011113K. Rybak3.2518550LSep 16 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.80101111113A. Krezel1.91129461WSep 16 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.3239100A. Krezel2.951111123WSep 16 · 20:45A. Krezel1.601111113A. Staniczek2.108570WSep 16 · 19:10A. Krezel1.26119911113K. Rybak3.2551111562LSep 16 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.4261611113A. Krezel2.461114881WSep 9 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.36111171082A. Krezel3.00961112113
A. Staniczek10
WSep 17 · 03:55A. Staniczek1.391121411113K. Rybak2.6541116892WSep 17 · 02:45M. Warzecha2.9010440A. Staniczek1.361211113LSep 17 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.3711911153A. Staniczek2.758119131WSep 16 · 23:55W. Stechly2.751151041A. Staniczek1.3671112113WSep 16 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.21971161A. Staniczek3.6511113113WSep 16 · 21:55A. Staniczek1.41119414113K. Rybak2.60911111252LSep 16 · 20:45A. Krezel1.601111113A. Staniczek2.108570LSep 16 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.301111113A. Staniczek3.004540WSep 16 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.445680A. Staniczek2.401111113WSep 15 · 02:45J. Michalik1.46116531A. Staniczek2.4031111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.