TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147436
Played Sep 17Finished
Dariusz Molenda
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12143111131012––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:07 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
12143111131012––
H2H Dariusz Molenda 12–2 Jacek Zelezik Jacek Zelezik has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Molenda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-2 in 14
Molenda
Wrong
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molenda 1633 vs Zelezik 1456
Molenda
Wrong
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molenda 80% vs Zelezik 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molenda 70% vs Zelezik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molenda -1 · Zelezik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolenda 1.36 / Zelezik 3.00
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Molenda)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13147436
Molenda1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite81% won 118 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 77 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it93% 102 of 110
Zelezik3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 85 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolenda8wins
AwayZelezik2wins
Molenda leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolenda100%8 of 8
AwayZelezikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molenda8Zelezik2n = 10Molenda took 8 of 10
S2Molenda5Zelezik5n = 10split evenly
S3Molenda8Zelezik2n = 10Molenda took 8 of 10
S4Molenda3Zelezik0n = 3Molenda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolendaZelezikM − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.626.2+8.4per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolendaZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 276 vs 378 / 69879%54.2%218 / 276 vs 378 / 698Avg sets wonper match2.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaMolenda 1.36/Zelezik 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.1%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda4011711113J. Zelezik31611591
LSep 3 · 22:20D. Molenda28116110J. Zelezik371311133
WAug 25 · 22:20D. Molenda331111113J. Zelezik121560
WJul 16 · 22:20D. Molenda341211113J. Zelezik2410680
LJul 7 · 19:10D. Molenda258890J. Zelezik331111113
WJul 2 · 21:30D. Molenda4111811113J. Zelezik30911371
WMay 14 · 21:30D. Molenda331111113J. Zelezik197480
WApr 9 · 22:20D. Molenda401111183J. Zelezik2646160
WMar 26 · 19:20D. Molenda3911611113J. Zelezik30211891
WMar 5 · 20:10D. Molenda331111113J. Zelezik206950
D. Molenda10
LSep 17 · 18:20A. Krezel4.701112113D. Molenda1.1391090WSep 10 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.205840D. Molenda1.571111113WSep 10 · 21:30J. Michalik3.50131260D. Molenda1.251514113WSep 10 · 20:45D. Molenda1.1011811113M. Machelski5.20511261WSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2811711113J. Zelezik3.15611591WSep 10 · 18:20M. Guzik2.106650D. Molenda1.601111113LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113
J. Zelezik10
WSep 17 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski2.01119851J. Zelezik1.6671111113LSep 17 · 17:30J. Michalik2.0011911153J. Zelezik1.739117131WSep 15 · 01:50M. Karpiuk3.00971291J. Zelezik1.36111110113WSep 15 · 24:50J. Zelezik1.83131116153G. Mucha1.8315714131WSep 14 · 23:50K. Gudzik2.6311013642J. Zelezik1.445111111113WSep 14 · 22:50Z. Nocun2.00611791J. Zelezik1.7311711113WSep 14 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.91113110J. Zelezik1.801311133LSep 14 · 20:30K. Gudzik2.75411911113J. Zelezik1.4011711732LSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2811711113J. Zelezik3.15611591WSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110
Upcoming Matches
D. Molenda
J. Zelezik
Sep 17 · 21:55J. Zelezik1.26A. Staniczek3.30—Sep 17 · 22:40J. Zelezik1.41A. Krezel2.60—Sep 17 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.99H. Tkaczyk1.67—Sep 18 · 01:10J. Zelezik1.45J. Michalik2.44—Sep 18 · 01:55J. Zelezik1.66K. Kwiatkowski2.01—Sep 18 · 03:55J. Zelezik1.21A. Staniczek3.30—Sep 18 · 04:40J. Zelezik1.34A. Krezel2.60—
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