TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128739
Played Sep 14Finished
Krystian Gudzik
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411117911117113
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:20 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrystian Gudzik above · Jacek Zelezik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 85 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Jacek Zelezik at 67.3%
85 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Gudzik 0–2 Jacek Zelezik Krystian Gudzik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zelezik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gudzik 1388 vs Zelezik 1454
Zelezik
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gudzik 80% vs Zelezik 60%
Gudzik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gudzik 40% vs Zelezik 70%
Zelezik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gudzik +2 · Zelezik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGudzik 2.75 / Zelezik 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Zelezik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13128739
Gudzik2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Zelezik1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 178 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it82% 137 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGudzik0wins
AwayZelezik2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderZelezik leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricGudzikZelezikG − ZBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.547.5−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGudzikZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 114 vs 373 / 69151.8%54%59 / 114 vs 373 / 691Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikGudzik 2.75/Zelezik 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gudzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 26 · 21:45K. Gudzik4313147812J. Zelezik5611121111113
LAug 26 · 17:45K. Gudzik34117881J. Zelezik3961111113
K. Gudzik10
WSep 14 · 18:55K. Gudzik1.671111113M. Karpiuk2.107970WSep 14 · 17:45K. Gudzik1.9111138113Z. Nocun1.804111151LSep 14 · 16:15K. Gudzik2.501271181M. Lewczuk1.5014115113WSep 14 · 15:00K. Gudzik1.8311117113G. Mucha1.83531191WSep 13 · 01:45K. Gudzik4.50111359133T. Kocik1.174111111112LSep 13 · 24:35K. Gudzik1.61117481P. Gesiarz2.0861111113LSep 12 · 23:20K. Gudzik1.6161260J. Skorupa2.201114113LSep 12 · 22:10G. Mucha2.75911711113K. Gudzik1.4011611932LSep 12 · 21:20K. Gudzik1.2781070D. Maszczynski3.501112113LSep 12 · 19:40K. Gudzik1.4010990G. Mucha2.751211113
J. Zelezik10
LSep 14 · 19:20J. Zelezik1.9131181172G. Mucha1.80119118113WSep 14 · 18:10M. Karpiuk2.6371211582J. Zelezik1.441110711113LSep 14 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.91121175133J. Zelezik1.801091111112WSep 14 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.918580J. Zelezik1.801111113WSep 11 · 04:40M. Guzik1.5831110111J. Zelezik2.2411812133WSep 11 · 03:55M. Machelski2.75131110101J. Zelezik1.3715612123LSep 11 · 01:55H. Tkaczyk1.561111113J. Zelezik2.197980WSep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik1.9011712972J. Zelezik1.805111011113WSep 10 · 23:30W. Stechly4.706840J. Zelezik1.131111113WSep 10 · 22:40M. Guzik1.387890J. Zelezik2.651111113
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