TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125418
Played Sep 14Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511811––––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Jacek Zelezik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jacek Zelezik at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 11–13 Jacek Zelezik Miroslaw Lewczuk has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1398 vs Zelezik 1463
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 40% vs Zelezik 80%
Zelezik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 60% vs Zelezik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk +1 · Zelezik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zelezik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.91 / Zelezik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zelezik)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13125418
Lewczuk1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 67 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back19% 21 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 68
Zelezik1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 178 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it82% 137 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk3wins
AwayZelezik7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk33.3%2 of 6
AwayZelezik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk6Zelezik4n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S2Lewczuk3Zelezik7n = 10Zelezik took 7 of 10
S3Lewczuk5Zelezik5n = 10split evenly
S4Lewczuk3Zelezik6n = 9Zelezik took 6 of 9
S5Lewczuk2Zelezik3n = 5Zelezik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukZelezikL − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.342.3−1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 956 vs 371 / 68751.5%54%492 / 956 vs 371 / 687Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikLewczuk 1.91/Zelezik 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 22:10M. Lewczuk46681111102J. Zelezik45111147123
WSep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk47591111113J. Zelezik4811119892
LSep 6 · 22:10M. Lewczuk34951281J. Zelezik43111110113
WSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk531111119113J. Zelezik4397131132
WSep 2 · 21:45M. Lewczuk331111113J. Zelezik154560
LSep 2 · 17:45M. Lewczuk551111711152J. Zelezik55861113173
LAug 20 · 23:55M. Lewczuk4017111472J. Zelezik531111812113
LAug 20 · 17:55M. Lewczuk27114751J. Zelezik4071111113
LAug 20 · 01:45M. Lewczuk391199101J. Zelezik4061111123
LAug 19 · 16:15M. Lewczuk391171381J. Zelezik4141115113
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 14 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.38911911113M. Guzik1.5311811962LSep 14 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.07123981K. Rybak7.50101111113LSep 13 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.537111111112G. Mucha2.38117135133WSep 13 · 22:10M. Karpiuk3.251511103112M. Lewczuk1.331391211133LSep 13 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.731112951A. Kubiak2.00131011113WSep 13 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.36111112113M. Karpiuk3.00651471WSep 13 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.061212183K. Rybak8.001010160WSep 13 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.5011711173G. Mucha2.505116151WSep 13 · 16:15M. Guzik1.571061271M. Lewczuk2.25121110113LSep 13 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.73861191A. Kubiak2.0011119113
J. Zelezik10
WSep 11 · 04:40M. Guzik1.5831110111J. Zelezik2.2411812133WSep 11 · 03:55M. Machelski2.75131110101J. Zelezik1.3715612123LSep 11 · 01:55H. Tkaczyk1.561111113J. Zelezik2.197980WSep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik1.9011712972J. Zelezik1.805111011113WSep 10 · 23:30W. Stechly4.706840J. Zelezik1.131111113WSep 10 · 22:40M. Guzik1.387890J. Zelezik2.651111113LSep 10 · 21:55M. Machelski2.501112113J. Zelezik1.4781070LSep 10 · 19:55H. Tkaczyk1.5510111111113J. Zelezik2.1912137552LSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2811711113J. Zelezik3.15611591WSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik2.101778121J. Zelezik1.60151111143
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk
Sep 14 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.50K. Gudzik2.50—Sep 14 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.50G. Mucha2.50—Sep 14 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.00Z. Nocun1.73—Sep 14 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.40M. Karpiuk2.75—Sep 14 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.91J. Zelezik1.80—Sep 14 · 22:10M. Lewczuk1.40M. Karpiuk2.75—Sep 14 · 23:10M. Lewczuk1.50G. Mucha2.50—Sep 15 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.00Z. Nocun1.73—Sep 15 · 01:10M. Lewczuk1.50K. Gudzik2.50—
J. Zelezik
Sep 14 · 16:55J. Zelezik1.80Z. Nocun1.91—Sep 14 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.44M. Karpiuk2.63—Sep 14 · 19:20J. Zelezik2.00G. Mucha1.73—Sep 14 · 20:30J. Zelezik1.40K. Gudzik2.75—Sep 14 · 21:20J. Zelezik1.80M. Lewczuk1.91—Sep 14 · 22:50J. Zelezik1.80Z. Nocun1.91—Sep 14 · 23:50J. Zelezik1.40K. Gudzik2.75—Sep 15 · 24:50J. Zelezik2.00G. Mucha1.73—Sep 15 · 01:50J. Zelezik1.44M. Karpiuk2.63—
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