TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13140359
Played Sep 16Finished
Tomas Hrstka
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111185111311711
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTomas Hrstka above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hrstka 1–2 Zdenek Vasatko Tomas Hrstka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hrstka beat Vasatko 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vasatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasatko form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrstka 2.50 / Vasatko 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Vasatko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13140359
Hrstka2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Vasatko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 36 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHrstka1wins
AwayVasatko2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVasatko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrstka1Vasatko2n = 3Vasatko took 2 of 3
S2Hrstka0Vasatko3n = 3Vasatko took 3 of 3
S3Hrstka2Vasatko1n = 3Hrstka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricHrstkaVasatkoH − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.038.0−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrstkaVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 71 vs 146 / 29245.1%50%32 / 71 vs 146 / 292Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasatkoHrstka 2.50/Vasatko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Vasatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vasatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 16 · 10:45T. Hrstka4411616113Z. Vasatko336111421
LMay 14 · 12:13T. Hrstka47851112112Z. Vasatko481111310133
LMay 14 · 09:15T. Hrstka206770Z. Vasatko331111113
T. Hrstka10
WSep 16 · 11:45L. Smazik1.50119791T. Hrstka2.5091111113WSep 16 · 10:45Z. Vasatko1.336111421T. Hrstka3.2511616113WSep 16 · 09:15L. Kolman1.50111061192T. Hrstka2.50512117113WAug 14 · 12:38P. Provaznik1.734660T. Hrstka2.001111113LAug 14 · 11:30T. Hrstka1.91981151P. Provaznik1.8011117113LAug 14 · 10:30T. Hrstka2.632111341M. Hajek1.44111311113LAug 14 · 09:30T. Hrstka2.103780L. Kolman1.671111113LAug 10 · 13:13T. Hrstka2.6381161172M. Svitac1.44119116113WAug 10 · 12:00T. Hrstka1.734111011113Z. Kuksa2.0011812762WAug 10 · 10:30P. Provaznik1.7312890T. Hrstka2.001411113
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 16 · 11:15L. Kolman1.67126671Z. Vasatko2.10101111113LSep 16 · 10:45Z. Vasatko1.336111421T. Hrstka3.2511616113WSep 16 · 09:45Z. Vasatko1.831115113L. Smazik1.8341380LSep 15 · 16:19P. Semrad1.731111113Z. Vasatko2.006990LSep 15 · 15:15Z. Vasatko2.20117571P. Semrad1.6141111113WSep 15 · 14:15Z. Vasatko2.0091111133M. Hajek1.731189111LSep 15 · 13:15Z. Vasatko1.6771181182D. Marasek2.10119115113WSep 14 · 12:24M. Hajek1.6151281192Z. Vasatko2.201110117113LSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.10511961M. Hajek1.6711911113WSep 14 · 10:15Z. Vasatko2.101111113L. Smazik1.677290
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.