TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136449
Played Sep 16Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111161416211––
Tomas Hrstka
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeZdenek Vasatko to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Tomas Hrstka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 77 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Zdenek Vasatko at 72.3%
77 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 2–0 Tomas Hrstka Tomas Hrstka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Vasatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vasatko 1613 vs Hrstka 1522
Vasatko
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasatko 40% vs Hrstka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasatko 50% vs Hrstka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasatko +1 · Hrstka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Vasatko) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasatko form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 1.33 / Hrstka 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Vasatko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136449
Vasatko1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 36 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Hrstka3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVasatko2wins
AwayHrstka0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVasatko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVasatkoHrstkaV − HBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.533.5+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoHrstkaBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 292 vs 30 / 6949.7%43.5%145 / 292 vs 30 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasatkoVasatko 1.33/Hrstka 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.9%
Vasatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrstka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMay 14 · 12:13Z. Vasatko481111310133T. Hrstka47851112112
WMay 14 · 09:15Z. Vasatko331111113T. Hrstka206770
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 16 · 11:15L. Kolman1.67126671Z. Vasatko2.10101111113WSep 16 · 09:45Z. Vasatko1.831115113L. Smazik1.8341380LSep 15 · 16:19P. Semrad1.731111113Z. Vasatko2.006990LSep 15 · 15:15Z. Vasatko2.20117571P. Semrad1.6141111113WSep 15 · 14:15Z. Vasatko2.0091111133M. Hajek1.731189111LSep 15 · 13:15Z. Vasatko1.6771181182D. Marasek2.10119115113WSep 14 · 12:24M. Hajek1.6151281192Z. Vasatko2.201110117113LSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.10511961M. Hajek1.6711911113WSep 14 · 10:15Z. Vasatko2.101111113L. Smazik1.677290WSep 14 · 09:15Z. Vasatko1.731111113M. Svitac2.007650
T. Hrstka10
WSep 16 · 09:15L. Kolman1.50111061192T. Hrstka2.50512117113WAug 14 · 12:38P. Provaznik1.734660T. Hrstka2.001111113LAug 14 · 11:30T. Hrstka1.91981151P. Provaznik1.8011117113LAug 14 · 10:30T. Hrstka2.632111341M. Hajek1.44111311113LAug 14 · 09:30T. Hrstka2.103780L. Kolman1.671111113LAug 10 · 13:13T. Hrstka2.6381161172M. Svitac1.44119116113WAug 10 · 12:00T. Hrstka1.734111011113Z. Kuksa2.0011812762WAug 10 · 10:30P. Provaznik1.7312890T. Hrstka2.001411113LAug 10 · 10:00M. Svitac1.501111113T. Hrstka2.506890WJun 10 · 12:19F. Kubos3.0071111992T. Hrstka1.36117811113
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