TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392416
Played Aug 10Finished
Tomas Hrstka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111181012117116
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hrstka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hrstka above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Hrstka at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:05What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hrstka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hrstka 1531 vs Kuksa 1530
Hrstka
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrstka 60% vs Kuksa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrstka 70% vs Kuksa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrstka +1 · Kuksa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrstka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrstka 1.73 / Kuksa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrstka)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12392416
Hrstka1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite79% won 11 of 14
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Kuksa2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 53 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrstkaKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 62 vs 254 / 49643.6%51.2%27 / 62 vs 254 / 496Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrstkaHrstka 1.73/Kuksa 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrstka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrstka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Hrstka10
WSep 16 · 10:45Z. Vasatko1.336111421T. Hrstka3.2511616113WSep 16 · 09:15L. Kolman1.50111061192T. Hrstka2.50512117113WAug 14 · 12:38P. Provaznik1.734660T. Hrstka2.001111113LAug 14 · 11:30T. Hrstka1.91981151P. Provaznik1.8011117113LAug 14 · 10:30T. Hrstka2.632111341M. Hajek1.44111311113LAug 14 · 09:30T. Hrstka2.103780L. Kolman1.671111113LAug 10 · 13:13T. Hrstka2.6381161172M. Svitac1.44119116113WAug 10 · 10:30P. Provaznik1.7312890T. Hrstka2.001411113LAug 10 · 10:00M. Svitac1.501111113T. Hrstka2.506890WJun 10 · 12:19F. Kubos3.0071111992T. Hrstka1.36117811113
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 14 · 20:43J. Tichy3.753111371Z. Kuksa1.2511715113WSep 14 · 19:45Z. Kuksa1.361111113J. Tichy3.006660LSep 14 · 18:15T. Bertho1.831211511113Z. Kuksa1.83101311582WSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113WSep 12 · 08:24T. Kanka2.2018760Z. Kuksa1.612011113LSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172WSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.7311911113T. Kanka2.00711471LSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 10 · 20:43Z. Kuksa1.6711118113V. Herrmann2.10991191WSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Hrstka
Z. Kuksa
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