TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126943
Played Sep 14Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101113511115118
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 29–18 Zdenek Kuksa Zdenek Kuksa has won 18 of their 47 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 23:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kuksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-18 in 47
Bertho
Correct
gap of 11 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1520 vs Kuksa 1574
Kuksa
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 80% vs Kuksa 60%
Bertho
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 70% vs Kuksa 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho -1 · Kuksa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuksa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.83 / Kuksa 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bertho)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13126943
Bertho1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kuksa1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho6wins
AwayKuksa4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho66.7%4 of 6
AwayKuksa50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho6Kuksa4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S2Bertho7Kuksa3n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S3Bertho3Kuksa7n = 10Kuksa took 7 of 10
S4Bertho6Kuksa3n = 9Bertho took 6 of 9
S5Bertho2Kuksa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoKuksaB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.940.0+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 663 vs 255 / 49953.2%51.1%353 / 663 vs 255 / 499Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.83/Kuksa 1.83
Hit
What we said
54%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 09:15T. Bertho44111111113Z. Kuksa35139671
WJul 13 · 10:00T. Bertho331111113Z. Kuksa216780
WJun 19 · 07:15T. Bertho4413119113Z. Kuksa351181151
WJun 15 · 08:58T. Bertho4211911113Z. Kuksa35811881
LJun 15 · 06:30T. Bertho3611101141Z. Kuksa4371213113
WJun 1 · 07:30T. Bertho45411811113Z. Kuksa4211811752
WMay 29 · 08:34T. Bertho5411111110113Z. Kuksa4064131252
LMay 29 · 07:30T. Bertho47611911102Z. Kuksa52119119123
LMay 15 · 14:15T. Bertho381195131Z. Kuksa4691111153
LApr 27 · 06:00T. Bertho46911411112Z. Kuksa51119117133
T. Bertho10
LSep 14 · 17:15T. Bertho1.735960J. Tichy2.001111113WSep 11 · 20:54T. Bertho1.671261111113L. Hendrych2.10101181392WSep 11 · 19:45L. Hendrych1.91101111932T. Bertho1.80128911113WSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113WSep 11 · 17:15J. Botka1.8071111962T. Bertho1.91114911113WSep 10 · 16:29M. Soukup2.10111211462T. Bertho1.67614611113WSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho1.91611101162T. Hanke1.80119126113LSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WSep 9 · 08:49M. Vorel1.83781181T. Bertho1.8311114113
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113WSep 12 · 08:24T. Kanka2.2018760Z. Kuksa1.612011113LSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172WSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.7311911113T. Kanka2.00711471LSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 10 · 20:43Z. Kuksa1.6711118113V. Herrmann2.10991191WSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113WSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102WSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.