TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126581
Played Sep 14Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911611––––
Jiri Tichy
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Jiri Tichy below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 56.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 2–0 Jiri Tichy Jiri Tichy has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bertho
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1537 vs Tichy 1456
Bertho
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 100% vs Tichy 20%
Bertho
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 70% vs Tichy 20%
Bertho
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho +5 · Tichy -1
Bertho
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.73 / Tichy 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Bertho)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13126581
Bertho1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 77 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it81% 62 of 77
Tichy2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBertho2wins
AwayTichy0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderBertho leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBerthoTichyB − TBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match49.036.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 662 vs 101 / 21553.3%47%353 / 662 vs 101 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.73/Tichy 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tichy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho48911116113J. Tichy3711731152
WMay 3 · 20:00T. Bertho50111189113J. Tichy3541111182
T. Bertho10
WSep 11 · 20:54T. Bertho1.671261111113L. Hendrych2.10101181392WSep 11 · 19:45L. Hendrych1.91101111932T. Bertho1.80128911113WSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113WSep 11 · 17:15J. Botka1.8071111962T. Bertho1.91114911113WSep 10 · 16:29M. Soukup2.10111211462T. Bertho1.67614611113WSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho1.91611101162T. Hanke1.80119126113LSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WSep 9 · 08:49M. Vorel1.83781181T. Bertho1.8311114113LSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman2.0011411113T. Bertho1.73711971
J. Tichy10
LSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113WSep 7 · 19:45V. Toman1.91118981J. Tichy1.8081111113LSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152LAug 26 · 20:38S. Kalensky1.7311101311113J. Tichy2.0081215842LAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 18:30J. Tichy1.8010770S. Kalensky1.911211113LAug 26 · 17:30J. Tichy2.007760V. Herrmann1.731111113WAug 23 · 08:48D. Brichacek1.44811971J. Tichy2.6311811113LAug 23 · 07:45J. Tichy2.258770D. Brichacek1.571111113
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