TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111213
Played Sep 11Finished
Ladislav Hendrych
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012118119911311
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Hendrych above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 95 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Hendrych 14–17 Tadeas Bertho Ladislav Hendrych has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:43What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-17 in 31
Bertho
Correct
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1523 vs Bertho 1506
Hendrych
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 40% vs Bertho 80%
Bertho
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 50% vs Bertho 70%
Bertho
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych +2 · Bertho +4
Bertho
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 1.91 / Bertho 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bertho)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111213
Hendrych1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 39 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Bertho1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 64 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych3wins
AwayBertho7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych50%2 of 4
AwayBertho83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych4Bertho6n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S2Hendrych7Bertho3n = 10Hendrych took 7 of 10
S3Hendrych5Bertho5n = 10split evenly
S4Hendrych3Bertho6n = 9Bertho took 6 of 9
S5Hendrych0Bertho3n = 3Bertho took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychBerthoH − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.040.2−3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 372 vs 351 / 66051.6%53.2%192 / 372 vs 351 / 660Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoHendrych 1.91/Bertho 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 06:45L. Hendrych—1111113T. Bertho—5880
LJul 4 · 20:34L. Hendrych—711781T. Bertho—11611113
LJul 4 · 19:00L. Hendrych—1141241T. Bertho—91114113
LMay 23 · 09:05L. Hendrych—851121T. Bertho—11118113
LMay 23 · 05:30L. Hendrych—411115112T. Bertho—115811133
LMay 16 · 17:30L. Hendrych—711371T. Bertho—11611113
WMay 9 · 18:00L. Hendrych—121111113T. Bertho—148851
LApr 18 · 12:34L. Hendrych—121311342T. Bertho—1411711113
LApr 18 · 11:30L. Hendrych—119101272T. Bertho—6111210113
WMar 28 · 15:30L. Hendrych—1111993T. Bertho—761161
L. Hendrych10
WSep 11 · 18:15J. Botka2.101171171L. Hendrych1.6741113113WSep 11 · 17:45K. Jirousek2.38711871L. Hendrych1.5311311113LSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690WAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171WAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991LAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161
T. Bertho10
WSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113WSep 11 · 17:15J. Botka1.8071111962T. Bertho1.91114911113WSep 10 · 16:29M. Soukup2.10111211462T. Bertho1.67614611113WSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho1.91611101162T. Hanke1.80119126113LSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WSep 9 · 08:49M. Vorel1.83781181T. Bertho1.8311114113LSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman2.0011411113T. Bertho1.73711971WSep 9 · 06:45T. Bertho1.611112113A. Dvoracek2.2091020WSep 9 · 05:45T. Bertho1.8311116133M. Vorel1.837811111
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