TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111412
Played Sep 11Finished
Karel Jirousek
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711113811711––
Ladislav Hendrych
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeLadislav Hendrych to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Ladislav Hendrych below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ladislav Hendrych at 66.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 3–7 Ladislav Hendrych Karel Jirousek has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hendrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Hendrych
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1479 vs Hendrych 1503
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 60% vs Hendrych 40%
Jirousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 50% vs Hendrych 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek +1 · Hendrych -3
Hendrych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Hendrych) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 2.38 / Hendrych 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Hendrych)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13111412
Jirousek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 42 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back27% 13 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Hendrych1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite59% won 60 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJirousek3wins
AwayHendrych7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHendrych leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek33.3%1 of 3
AwayHendrych71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek3Hendrych7n = 10Hendrych took 7 of 10
S2Jirousek5Hendrych5n = 10split evenly
S3Jirousek5Hendrych5n = 10split evenly
S4Jirousek2Hendrych7n = 9Hendrych took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJirousekHendrychJ − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.739.4−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 446 vs 193 / 37451.6%51.6%230 / 446 vs 193 / 374Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychJirousek 2.38/Hendrych 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 18:00K. Jirousek—13123862L. Hendrych—11101111113
LJun 16 · 21:08K. Jirousek—491141L. Hendrych—11115113
LJun 16 · 17:30K. Jirousek—711981L. Hendrych—11611113
LMay 28 · 18:30K. Jirousek—571171L. Hendrych—11119113
LDec 20 · 09:28K. Jirousek—96100L. Hendrych—1111123
WDec 20 · 08:30K. Jirousek—711118113L. Hendrych—11681142
WDec 17 · 21:00K. Jirousek—111214113L. Hendrych—9101631
WNov 6 · 20:00K. Jirousek—61111113L. Hendrych—114991
LOct 23 · 21:10K. Jirousek—117791L. Hendrych—91111113
LOct 23 · 19:00K. Jirousek—491141L. Hendrych—1111393
K. Jirousek10
LSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131LSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102WSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133WSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113LSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113LSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950WSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113LAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100
L. Hendrych10
WSep 11 · 18:15J. Botka2.101171171L. Hendrych1.6741113113LSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690WAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171WAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991LAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161WAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392
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