TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111052
Played Sep 11Finished
Karel Jirousek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611711––––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 10–10 Tadeas Bertho Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1468 vs Bertho 1493
Bertho
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 60% vs Bertho 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 50% vs Bertho 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek -1 · Bertho +3
Bertho
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 1.91 / Bertho 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bertho)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111052
Jirousek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 42 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back27% 13 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Bertho1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 64 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJirousek7wins
AwayBertho3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJirousek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek66.7%2 of 3
AwayBertho28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek3Bertho7n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S2Jirousek7Bertho3n = 10Jirousek took 7 of 10
S3Jirousek5Bertho5n = 10split evenly
S4Jirousek7Bertho2n = 9Jirousek took 7 of 9
S5Jirousek3Bertho1n = 4Jirousek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJirousekBerthoJ − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.737.4+4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 443 vs 350 / 65951.5%53.1%228 / 443 vs 350 / 659Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoJirousek 1.91/Bertho 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 26 · 21:09K. Jirousek—11115113T. Bertho—981161
WApr 26 · 20:00K. Jirousek—881111123T. Bertho—111178102
WApr 23 · 19:00K. Jirousek—611711113T. Bertho—11611762
LApr 8 · 07:30K. Jirousek—1141091T. Bertho—41112113
WDec 18 · 18:05K. Jirousek—91111123T. Bertho—1174101
LDec 18 · 16:00K. Jirousek—89111182T. Bertho—111179113
WDec 12 · 09:10K. Jirousek—91111113T. Bertho—114851
WDec 12 · 06:15K. Jirousek—1111113T. Bertho—6780
LNov 26 · 09:34K. Jirousek—911681T. Bertho—11911113
WNov 26 · 08:30K. Jirousek—1011711113T. Bertho—12311792
K. Jirousek10
LSep 11 · 17:45K. Jirousek2.38711871L. Hendrych1.5311311113WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131LSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102WSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133WSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113LSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113LSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950WSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113LAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100
T. Bertho10
WSep 11 · 17:15J. Botka1.8071111962T. Bertho1.91114911113WSep 10 · 16:29M. Soukup2.10111211462T. Bertho1.67614611113WSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho1.91611101162T. Hanke1.80119126113LSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WSep 9 · 08:49M. Vorel1.83781181T. Bertho1.8311114113LSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman2.0011411113T. Bertho1.73711971WSep 9 · 06:45T. Bertho1.611112113A. Dvoracek2.2091020WSep 9 · 05:45T. Bertho1.8311116133M. Vorel1.837811111LSep 7 · 20:44V. Toman2.201311113T. Bertho1.6111870
Upcoming Matches
K. Jirousek
Nothing scheduled
T. Bertho
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