TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100701
Played Sep 9Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171186111311––
Martin Vorel
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 78 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 46–50 Martin Vorel Tadeas Bertho has won 46 of their 96 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:26What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vorel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-50 in 96
Vorel
Wrong
gap of 4 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1465 vs Vorel 1380
Bertho
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 60% vs Vorel 0%
Bertho
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 50% vs Vorel 30%
Bertho
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho -1 · Vorel -5
Vorel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorel form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.83 / Vorel 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bertho)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100701
Bertho1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Vorel1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho6wins
AwayVorel4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho83.3%5 of 6
AwayVorel75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho6Vorel4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S2Bertho6Vorel4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S3Bertho3Vorel7n = 10Vorel took 7 of 10
S4Bertho5Vorel3n = 8Bertho took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoVorelB − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.237.0+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 650 vs 406 / 78652.9%51.7%344 / 650 vs 406 / 786Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.83/Vorel 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 08:00T. Bertho—711471M. Vorel—11611113
WJun 25 · 06:30T. Bertho—11114113M. Vorel—661191
WJun 15 · 06:00T. Bertho—111211173M. Vorel—4149151
WMay 22 · 09:03T. Bertho—11117113M. Vorel—871191
WMay 22 · 07:00T. Bertho—119611123M. Vorel—611119102
WMay 13 · 12:44T. Bertho—1411113M. Vorel—12750
WMay 13 · 11:45T. Bertho—91211113M. Vorel—1110851
LApr 30 · 05:30T. Bertho—1110391M. Vorel—71211113
LApr 27 · 08:58T. Bertho—712471M. Vorel—111011113
LApr 27 · 08:00T. Bertho—6990M. Vorel—1111113
T. Bertho10
WSep 9 · 06:45T. Bertho1.611112113A. Dvoracek2.2091020LSep 7 · 20:44V. Toman2.201311113T. Bertho1.6111870WSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112WSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162
M. Vorel10
WSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman1.73691171M. Vorel2.0011116113LSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113
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