TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100710
Played Sep 9Finished
Michael Hasman
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911116711––
Martin Vorel
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichael Hasman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichael Hasman above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Michael Hasman at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Michael Hasman 1–2 Martin Vorel Michael Hasman has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hasman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasman 1492 vs Vorel 1387
Hasman
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasman 80% vs Vorel 0%
Hasman
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasman 80% vs Vorel 30%
Hasman
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasman +1 · Vorel -5
Vorel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hasman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorel form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasman 1.73 / Vorel 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hasman)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100710
Hasman1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 38 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Vorel2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 78 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHasman1wins
AwayVorel2wins
Vorel leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasman2Vorel1n = 3Hasman took 2 of 3
S2Hasman1Vorel2n = 3Vorel took 2 of 3
S3Hasman2Vorel1n = 3Hasman took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHasmanVorelH − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.332.0+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmanVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 118 vs 407 / 78855.9%51.7%66 / 118 vs 407 / 788Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmanHasman 1.73/Vorel 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hasman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vorel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman—691171M. Vorel—11116113
WAug 18 · 08:00M. Hasman—1111113M. Vorel—6560
LJun 18 · 07:00M. Hasman—118751M. Vorel—71111113
M. Hasman10
WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113WAug 11 · 11:30M. Hasman1.8013912113J. Hanacek1.9111111061WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hasman1.7311611113J. Blazek2.00911861LAug 11 · 09:30M. Hasman2.00581181J. Jnr1.7311118113WAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113
M. Vorel10
LSep 9 · 05:45T. Bertho1.8311116133M. Vorel1.837811111LSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113
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