TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451191
Played Aug 18Finished
Karel Jirousek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5118111210117611
Michael Hasman
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:33 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeKarel Jirousek to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Michael Hasman below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Karel Jirousek at 55.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 4–0 Michael Hasman Michael Hasman has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:33What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jirousek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Jirousek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1490 vs Hasman 1472
Jirousek
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 60% vs Hasman 80%
Hasman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 70% vs Hasman 90%
Hasman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek +1 · Hasman +3
Hasman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 1.50 / Hasman 2.50
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Jirousek)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12451191
Jirousek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 46 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it67% 32 of 48
Hasman2.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 23 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJirousek4wins
AwayHasman0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderJirousek leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek100%3 of 3
AwayHasmann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek3Hasman1n = 4Jirousek took 3 of 4
S2Jirousek2Hasman2n = 4split evenly
S3Jirousek2Hasman2n = 4split evenly
S4Jirousek4Hasman0n = 4Jirousek took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJirousekHasmanJ − HBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match44.837.8+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekHasmanBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 454 vs 72 / 13252.4%54.6%238 / 454 vs 72 / 132Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekJirousek 1.50/Hasman 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hasman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 22 · 13:00K. Jirousek—16911113M. Hasman—1411561
WJul 22 · 09:45K. Jirousek—11911113M. Hasman—511781
WJul 15 · 13:10K. Jirousek—11115113M. Hasman—881171
WJul 15 · 12:00K. Jirousek—811911133M. Hasman—119118112
K. Jirousek10
WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131LSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102WSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133WSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113LSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113LSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950WSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113LAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100LAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113
M. Hasman10
WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113WAug 11 · 11:30M. Hasman1.8013912113J. Hanacek1.9111111061WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hasman1.7311611113J. Blazek2.00911861LAug 11 · 09:30M. Hasman2.00581181J. Jnr1.7311118113WAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hasman1.50111311113D. Sabuka2.50515641
Upcoming Matches
K. Jirousek
Nothing scheduled
M. Hasman
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.