TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451089
Played Aug 18Finished
Martin Vorel
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511611––––
Michael Hasman
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichael Hasman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vorel above · Michael Hasman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Michael Hasman at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vorel 1–1 Michael Hasman Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vorel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vorel 1438 vs Hasman 1507
Hasman
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorel 0% vs Hasman 100%
Hasman
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorel 30% vs Hasman 90%
Hasman
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorel -5 · Hasman +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vorel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorel 1.61 / Hasman 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Vorel)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451089
Vorel1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 97 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it77% 72 of 94
Hasman2.20
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 23 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVorel1wins
AwayHasman1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVorelHasmanV − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.532.0−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorelHasmanBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 798 vs 75 / 13552%55.6%415 / 798 vs 75 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelVorel 1.61/Hasman 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hasman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel—6560M. Hasman—1111113
WJun 18 · 07:00M. Vorel—71111113M. Hasman—118751
M. Vorel10
LSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143
M. Hasman10
WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113WAug 11 · 11:30M. Hasman1.8013912113J. Hanacek1.9111111061WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hasman1.7311611113J. Blazek2.00911861LAug 11 · 09:30M. Hasman2.00581181J. Jnr1.7311118113WAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hasman1.50111311113D. Sabuka2.50515641
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