TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12454450
Played Aug 18Finished
Michael Hasman
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611511119115811
Jan Marhol
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:30 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMichael Hasman to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichael Hasman above · Jan Marhol below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Michael Hasman at 55.8%
88 points played in total.
H2H Michael Hasman 1–0 Jan Marhol Jan Marhol has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hasman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hasman 1507 vs Marhol 1497
Hasman
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasman 100% vs Marhol 60%
Hasman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasman 90% vs Marhol 60%
Hasman
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasman +5 · Marhol +1
Hasman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hasman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marhol form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasman 1.67 / Marhol 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hasman)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12454450
Hasman1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 38 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Marhol2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 28 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHasman1wins
AwayMarhol0wins
Hasman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHasmanMarholH − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.030.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmanMarholBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 135 vs 113 / 22055.6%51.4%75 / 135 vs 113 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmanHasman 1.67/Marhol 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Hasman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Marhol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 18 · 07:00M. Hasman—11116113J. Marhol—651181
M. Hasman10
WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113WAug 11 · 11:30M. Hasman1.8013912113J. Hanacek1.9111111061WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hasman1.7311611113J. Blazek2.00911861LAug 11 · 09:30M. Hasman2.00581181J. Jnr1.7311118113WAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hasman1.50111311113D. Sabuka2.50515641
J. Marhol10
WSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122LSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113LAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 15:00F. Schmidtmayer2.20116551J. Marhol1.6161111113LAug 25 · 12:58F. Kubos2.101111113J. Marhol1.676870WAug 25 · 11:30J. Marhol1.671311812113O. Plyska2.10117111432LAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113
Upcoming Matches
M. Hasman
J. Marhol
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