TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100643
Played Sep 9Finished
Michael Hasman
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161311117––––
Adam Dvoracek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeMichael Hasman to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichael Hasman above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 59 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Michael Hasman at 63.7%
59 points played in total.
H2H Michael Hasman 4–2 Adam Dvoracek Adam Dvoracek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hasman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Hasman
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasman 1496 vs Dvoracek 1442
Hasman
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasman 80% vs Dvoracek 20%
Hasman
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasman 80% vs Dvoracek 40%
Hasman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasman -1 · Dvoracek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hasman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasman 1.50 / Dvoracek 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Hasman)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100643
Hasman1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 38 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Dvoracek2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 55 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHasman4wins
AwayDvoracek2wins
4 of 6 to a deciderHasman leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasman80%4 of 5
AwayDvoracekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasman5Dvoracek1n = 6Hasman took 5 of 6
S2Hasman3Dvoracek3n = 6split evenly
S3Hasman3Dvoracek3n = 6split evenly
S4Hasman3Dvoracek2n = 5Hasman took 3 of 5
S5Hasman2Dvoracek2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHasmanDvoracekH − DBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match42.039.2+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmanDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 116 vs 249 / 47456%52.5%65 / 116 vs 249 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmanHasman 1.50/Dvoracek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Hasman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hasman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJun 17 · 12:48M. Hasman—115101322A. Dvoracek—8111211113
WJun 17 · 10:45M. Hasman—1111113A. Dvoracek—7980
WJun 5 · 12:59M. Hasman—117311113A. Dvoracek—71111562
WJun 5 · 12:00M. Hasman—13117113A. Dvoracek—1151151
LMay 27 · 09:30M. Hasman—71111962A. Dvoracek—115411113
WMar 28 · 12:00M. Hasman—119117113A. Dvoracek—61191172
M. Hasman10
LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113WAug 11 · 11:30M. Hasman1.8013912113J. Hanacek1.9111111061WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hasman1.7311611113J. Blazek2.00911861LAug 11 · 09:30M. Hasman2.00581181J. Jnr1.7311118113WAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hasman1.50111311113D. Sabuka2.50515641
A. Dvoracek10
WSep 8 · 09:03J. Puk2.00691171A. Dvoracek1.7311117113LSep 8 · 08:00A. Dvoracek1.441012481J. Puk2.63121011113LSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651LSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752
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