TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13097894
Played Sep 8Finished
Jaroslav Puk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911117711––
Adam Dvoracek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJaroslav Puk above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Puk 3–3 Adam Dvoracek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Puk beat Dvoracek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvoracek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPuk 2.00 / Dvoracek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dvoracek)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13097894
Puk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Dvoracek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it72% 54 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePuk3wins
AwayDvoracek3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePuk60%3 of 5
AwayDvoracekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Puk5Dvoracek1n = 6Puk took 5 of 6
S2Puk2Dvoracek4n = 6Dvoracek took 4 of 6
S3Puk2Dvoracek4n = 6Dvoracek took 4 of 6
S4Puk1Dvoracek3n = 4Dvoracek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricPukDvoracekP − DBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match35.334.3+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPukDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 315 vs 252 / 47747.3%52.8%149 / 315 vs 252 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvoracekPuk 2.00/Dvoracek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dvoracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 8 · 08:00J. Puk—121011113A. Dvoracek—1012481
LJul 21 · 10:30J. Puk—5880A. Dvoracek—1111113
WMay 7 · 11:00J. Puk—111198113A. Dvoracek—46111192
LFeb 2 · 11:30J. Puk—116691A. Dvoracek—81111113
LNov 28 · 14:00J. Puk—115871A. Dvoracek—51111113
WNov 28 · 13:00J. Puk—1211113A. Dvoracek—10270
J. Puk10
WSep 8 · 08:00A. Dvoracek1.441012481J. Puk2.63121011113LSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172LSep 8 · 05:30O. Plyska1.441113113J. Puk2.6351160WSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112LSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163WSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113LSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252WAug 31 · 08:34T. Bertho1.61511791J. Puk2.2011711113LAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672LAug 31 · 07:00J. Puk2.10158100T. Bertho1.671711123
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 8 · 08:00A. Dvoracek1.441012481J. Puk2.63121011113LSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651LSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752WAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113
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