TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094457
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711115911117115
Adam Dvoracek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Dvoracek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 88 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Adam Dvoracek at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 6–7 Adam Dvoracek Jakub Mejzlik has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dvoracek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mejzlik 1436 vs Dvoracek 1446
Dvoracek
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mejzlik 60% vs Dvoracek 40%
Mejzlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mejzlik 60% vs Dvoracek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mejzlik -1 · Dvoracek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mejzlik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 1.83 / Dvoracek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mejzlik)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094457
Mejzlik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Dvoracek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMejzlik5wins
AwayDvoracek5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMejzlikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDvoracek62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik2Dvoracek8n = 10Dvoracek took 8 of 10
S2Mejzlik9Dvoracek1n = 10Mejzlik took 9 of 10
S3Mejzlik4Dvoracek6n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S4Mejzlik5Dvoracek4n = 9Mejzlik took 5 of 9
S5Mejzlik3Dvoracek3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMejzlikDvoracekM − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match43.139.2+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 297 vs 252 / 47648.2%52.9%143 / 297 vs 252 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikMejzlik 1.83/Dvoracek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik—711911113A. Dvoracek—11511752
LJun 24 · 13:09J. Mejzlik—510111572A. Dvoracek—1112613113
WJun 24 · 10:30J. Mejzlik—1211611113A. Dvoracek—14611722
WJun 20 · 09:45J. Mejzlik—1112113A. Dvoracek—41030
WJun 6 · 15:00J. Mejzlik—11119113A. Dvoracek—441161
LApr 30 · 17:30J. Mejzlik—91191162A. Dvoracek—112117113
LNov 8 · 13:58J. Mejzlik—1111581A. Dvoracek—13511113
LNov 8 · 11:15J. Mejzlik—711971A. Dvoracek—11911103
LOct 29 · 10:27J. Mejzlik—71111742A. Dvoracek—118511113
WOct 19 · 07:00J. Mejzlik—1014116113A. Dvoracek—121261182
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113LAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 25 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.738111111123J. Puk2.00116138102
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752WAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103
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