TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094532
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleh Plyska
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811116117511711
Jakub Mejzlik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Plyska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Plyska above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 88 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleh Plyska at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Plyska 6–5 Jakub Mejzlik Jakub Mejzlik has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mejzlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plyska 1536 vs Mejzlik 1450
Plyska
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plyska 80% vs Mejzlik 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plyska 70% vs Mejzlik 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plyska +4 · Mejzlik +2
Plyska
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plyska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlyska 1.83 / Mejzlik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plyska)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094532
Plyska1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Mejzlik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlyska5wins
AwayMejzlik5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlyska75%3 of 4
AwayMejzlik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plyska4Mejzlik6n = 10Mejzlik took 6 of 10
S2Plyska5Mejzlik5n = 10split evenly
S3Plyska5Mejzlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Plyska4Mejzlik4n = 8split evenly
S5Plyska4Mejzlik3n = 7Plyska took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlyskaMejzlikP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.542.2−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlyskaMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 693 vs 144 / 29849.5%48.3%343 / 693 vs 144 / 298Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaPlyska 1.83/Mejzlik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska—81111572J. Mejzlik—116711113
LSep 7 · 06:00O. Plyska—115971J. Mejzlik—91111113
WAug 17 · 09:03O. Plyska—811811113J. Mejzlik—11911682
WAug 17 · 06:30O. Plyska—111495113J. Mejzlik—312111192
LAug 3 · 07:30O. Plyska—41391122J. Mejzlik—1111118113
LJul 26 · 07:00O. Plyska—76111192J. Mejzlik—111183113
WJun 6 · 16:00O. Plyska—1151111113J. Mejzlik—13117442
WJun 5 · 06:15O. Plyska—1111113J. Mejzlik—9970
WMay 27 · 05:30O. Plyska—1111118113J. Mejzlik—91381192
LMay 20 · 08:39O. Plyska—9970J. Mejzlik—1111113
O. Plyska10
WSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651WSep 8 · 05:30O. Plyska1.441113113J. Puk2.6351160WSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172WSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113LAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 25 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.738111111123J. Puk2.00116138102
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