TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094568
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleh Plyska
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811116115––
Adam Dvoracek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Plyska to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Plyska above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Oleh Plyska at 60.2%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Plyska 11–5 Adam Dvoracek Adam Dvoracek has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Plyska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Plyska
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plyska 1550 vs Dvoracek 1446
Plyska
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plyska 60% vs Dvoracek 40%
Plyska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plyska 60% vs Dvoracek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plyska +3 · Dvoracek -2
Plyska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Plyska)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlyska 1.67 / Dvoracek 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Plyska)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094568
Plyska1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite54% won 99 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it87% 46 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it62% 64 of 103
Dvoracek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 55 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back31% 21 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlyska8wins
AwayDvoracek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlyska leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlyska75%3 of 4
AwayDvoracek16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plyska4Dvoracek6n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S2Plyska7Dvoracek3n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S3Plyska7Dvoracek3n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S4Plyska6Dvoracek2n = 8Plyska took 6 of 8
S5Plyska2Dvoracek1n = 3Plyska took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlyskaDvoracekP − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.232.1+9.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlyskaDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 692 vs 252 / 47649.6%52.9%343 / 692 vs 252 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaPlyska 1.67/Dvoracek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska—11811113A. Dvoracek—711651
LAug 29 · 14:30O. Plyska—11913872A. Dvoracek—411111183
WAug 7 · 10:00O. Plyska—41112113A. Dvoracek—1111071
WJul 29 · 12:00O. Plyska—81111113A. Dvoracek—117751
LJul 25 · 20:00O. Plyska—9990A. Dvoracek—1111113
WJul 21 · 13:09O. Plyska—111111113A. Dvoracek—137751
WJul 21 · 10:00O. Plyska—1111710113A. Dvoracek—75111292
WJun 6 · 16:39O. Plyska—91111113A. Dvoracek—113711
WJun 6 · 14:00O. Plyska—811711113A. Dvoracek—11611292
WApr 27 · 16:29O. Plyska—1111113A. Dvoracek—6480
O. Plyska10
WSep 8 · 05:30O. Plyska1.441113113J. Puk2.6351160WSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123LSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752WAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103
Upcoming Matches
O. Plyska
Nothing scheduled
A. Dvoracek
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