TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094623
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleh Plyska
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151311116––––
Jaroslav Puk
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Plyska to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Plyska above · Jaroslav Puk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleh Plyska at 68.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Plyska 33–17 Jaroslav Puk Jaroslav Puk has won 17 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Plyska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-17 in 50
Plyska
Correct
gap of 16 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plyska 1532 vs Puk 1396
Plyska
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plyska 60% vs Puk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plyska 60% vs Puk 30%
Plyska
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plyska +2 · Puk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Plyska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Puk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlyska 1.44 / Puk 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Plyska)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094623
Plyska1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 99 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it87% 46 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it62% 64 of 103
Puk2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlyska7wins
AwayPuk3wins
Plyska leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlyska85.7%6 of 7
AwayPuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plyska7Puk3n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S2Plyska7Puk3n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S3Plyska5Puk5n = 10split evenly
S4Plyska4Puk2n = 6Plyska took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlyskaPukPlyska − PukBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.929.6+6.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlyskaPukBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 690 vs 155 / 32049.4%48.4%341 / 690 vs 155 / 320Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaPlyska 1.44/Puk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 07:00O. Plyska—961191J. Puk—11114113
WAug 17 · 06:00O. Plyska—1111113J. Puk—4460
WAug 11 · 07:30O. Plyska—1111113J. Puk—7560
WAug 3 · 08:38O. Plyska—11119113J. Puk—981161
LAug 3 · 07:00O. Plyska—9580J. Puk—1111113
WJul 21 · 11:30O. Plyska—11118103J. Puk—961161
WJul 7 · 11:00O. Plyska—1111113J. Puk—6790
WJul 2 · 08:00O. Plyska—71211113J. Puk—1110951
WJun 17 · 05:30O. Plyska—11115113J. Puk—851161
LJun 12 · 05:15O. Plyska—11810131J. Puk—31112153
O. Plyska10
WSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651WSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123LSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143
J. Puk10
WSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112LSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163WSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113LSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252WAug 31 · 08:34T. Bertho1.61511791J. Puk2.2011711113LAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672LAug 31 · 07:00J. Puk2.10158100T. Bertho1.671711123LAug 31 · 06:00J. Puk2.0061111822M. Vorel1.73118611113LAug 25 · 09:03M. Vorel1.738111113113J. Puk2.0011431582LAug 25 · 08:00J. Puk1.804611101M. Vorel1.9111116123
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