TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12398708
Played Aug 11Finished
Michael Hasman
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511811118811––
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Dufek Jnr to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichael Hasman above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Dufek Jnr at 61.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Michael Hasman 3–6 Jakub Dufek Jnr Michael Hasman has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Jnr
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasman 1440 vs Jnr 1462
Jnr
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasman 100% vs Jnr 20%
Hasman
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasman 80% vs Jnr 40%
Hasman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasman +5 · Jnr -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jnr) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasman 2.00 / Jnr 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Jnr)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12398708
Hasman2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 22 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Jnr1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 82 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 59 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHasman3wins
AwayJnr6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderJnr leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasman25%1 of 4
AwayJnr60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasman4Jnr5n = 9Jnr took 5 of 9
S2Hasman3Jnr6n = 9Jnr took 6 of 9
S3Hasman3Jnr6n = 9Jnr took 6 of 9
S4Hasman3Jnr5n = 8Jnr took 5 of 8
S5Hasman2Jnr1n = 3Hasman took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricHasmanJnrH − JBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.841.3−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmanJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 136 vs 229 / 43754.4%52.4%74 / 136 vs 229 / 437Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrHasman 2.00/Jnr 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 9 · 12:59M. Hasman—911791J. Jnr—11511113
LJul 9 · 12:00M. Hasman—10740J. Jnr—1211113
WJun 30 · 12:59M. Hasman—9111110123J. Jnr—115212102
LJun 30 · 10:30M. Hasman—115651J. Jnr—61111113
LMay 28 · 10:30M. Hasman—771351J. Jnr—111111113
LMay 27 · 12:58M. Hasman—1110971J. Jnr—91211113
WMay 27 · 12:00M. Hasman—11129113J. Jnr—5101181
LMay 19 · 13:30M. Hasman—118121152J. Jnr—611149113
WJul 24 · 15:00M. Hasman—7131111113J. Jnr—11157792
M. Hasman10
WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113WAug 11 · 11:30M. Hasman1.8013912113J. Hanacek1.9111111061WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hasman1.7311611113J. Blazek2.00911861WAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hasman1.50111311113D. Sabuka2.50515641
J. Jnr10
WSep 8 · 20:58M. Cmil1.831011111392J. Jnr1.831271311113LSep 8 · 20:00J. Jnr1.80511851M. Cmil1.9111711113WSep 8 · 18:30V. Coubal2.758314121J. Jnr1.40111112143WSep 8 · 18:00M. Vydra2.63611691J. Jnr1.4411911113LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170LAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113
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