TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12403797
Played Aug 11Finished
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315711411––––
Michael Hasman
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJakub Dufek Jnr above · Michael Hasman below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 61 set 3, 4-11
61 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek Jnr 7–3 Michael Hasman Michael Hasman has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.57 / Hasman 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Jnr)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12403797
Jnr1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 82 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 59 of 78
Hasman2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 22 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr7wins
AwayHasman3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr66.7%4 of 6
AwayHasman25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr6Hasman4n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S2Jnr7Hasman3n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S3Jnr6Hasman4n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S4Jnr6Hasman3n = 9Jnr took 6 of 9
S5Jnr1Hasman2n = 3Hasman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrHasmanJ − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.338.1+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrHasmanBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 440 vs 73 / 13652.7%53.7%232 / 440 vs 73 / 136Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrJnr 1.57/Hasman 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hasman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 09:30J. Jnr—11118113M. Hasman—581181
WJul 9 · 12:59J. Jnr—11511113M. Hasman—911791
WJul 9 · 12:00J. Jnr—1211113M. Hasman—10740
LJun 30 · 12:59J. Jnr—115212102M. Hasman—9111110123
WJun 30 · 10:30J. Jnr—61111113M. Hasman—115651
WMay 28 · 10:30J. Jnr—111111113M. Hasman—771351
WMay 27 · 12:58J. Jnr—91211113M. Hasman—1110971
LMay 27 · 12:00J. Jnr—5101181M. Hasman—11129113
WMay 19 · 13:30J. Jnr—611149113M. Hasman—118121152
LJul 24 · 15:00J. Jnr—11157792M. Hasman—7131111113
J. Jnr10
WSep 8 · 20:58M. Cmil1.831011111392J. Jnr1.831271311113LSep 8 · 20:00J. Jnr1.80511851M. Cmil1.9111711113WSep 8 · 18:30V. Coubal2.758314121J. Jnr1.40111112143WSep 8 · 18:00M. Vydra2.63611691J. Jnr1.4411911113LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113
M. Hasman10
WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 11:30M. Hasman1.8013912113J. Hanacek1.9111111061WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hasman1.7311611113J. Blazek2.00911861LAug 11 · 09:30M. Hasman2.00581181J. Jnr1.7311118113WAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hasman1.50111311113D. Sabuka2.50515641
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