TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12398696
Played Aug 11Finished
Michael Hasman
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611118116––
Jan Blazek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMichael Hasman to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichael Hasman above · Jan Blazek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Michael Hasman at 54.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Michael Hasman 5–4 Jan Blazek Jan Blazek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hasman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasman 1429 vs Blazek 1410
Hasman
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasman 80% vs Blazek 60%
Hasman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasman 80% vs Blazek 50%
Hasman
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasman -1 · Blazek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hasman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasman 1.73 / Blazek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Hasman)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12398696
Hasman1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Blazek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHasman5wins
AwayBlazek4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderHasman leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasman100%5 of 5
AwayBlazek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasman5Blazek4n = 9Hasman took 5 of 9
S2Hasman4Blazek5n = 9Blazek took 5 of 9
S3Hasman6Blazek3n = 9Hasman took 6 of 9
S4Hasman0Blazek4n = 4Blazek took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricHasmanBlazekH − BBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match34.932.4+2.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmanBlazekBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 136 vs 168 / 38153.7%44.1%73 / 136 vs 168 / 381Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmanHasman 1.73/Blazek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Hasman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hasman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 10 · 11:30M. Hasman—8611101J. Blazek—11115123
WJul 1 · 12:14M. Hasman—111167113J. Blazek—65111152
WJul 1 · 09:15M. Hasman—119119113J. Blazek—91171152
LJun 23 · 10:45M. Hasman—71160J. Blazek—1113113
WJun 5 · 11:00M. Hasman—1111113J. Blazek—4990
WJun 4 · 17:13M. Hasman—1111113J. Blazek—7790
LJun 4 · 14:30M. Hasman—891181J. Blazek—11117113
LMay 13 · 12:38M. Hasman—11930J. Blazek—1311113
WMay 13 · 10:30M. Hasman—1111113J. Blazek—7460
M. Hasman10
WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113WAug 11 · 11:30M. Hasman1.8013912113J. Hanacek1.9111111061LAug 11 · 09:30M. Hasman2.00581181J. Jnr1.7311118113WAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hasman1.50111311113D. Sabuka2.50515641
J. Blazek10
WSep 8 · 17:08J. Blazek3.2511911113P. Kotrbacek1.33811491WSep 8 · 16:00J. Blazek2.00711415113M. Melisek1.73118111352WSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113LSep 8 · 14:00P. Kotrbacek1.401112113J. Blazek2.7521090WSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113WSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113WAug 28 · 12:23J. Hanacek1.4081411592J. Blazek2.751112811113LAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113
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