TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099797
Played Sep 8Finished
Jan Blazek
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911114119––
Petr Kotrbacek
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingJan Blazek above · Petr Kotrbacek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Blazek 3–12 Petr Kotrbacek Jan Blazek has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kotrbacek beat Blazek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kotrbacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blazek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlazek 3.25 / Kotrbacek 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Kotrbacek)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13099797
Blazek3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 48 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Kotrbacek1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 37 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlazek2wins
AwayKotrbacek8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKotrbacek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlazekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKotrbacek75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blazek2Kotrbacek8n = 10Kotrbacek took 8 of 10
S2Blazek4Kotrbacek6n = 10Kotrbacek took 6 of 10
S3Blazek5Kotrbacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Blazek3Kotrbacek5n = 8Kotrbacek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlazekKotrbacekB − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.740.3−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlazekKotrbacekBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 376 vs 129 / 26943.4%48%163 / 376 vs 129 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotrbacekBlazek 3.25/Kotrbacek 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.3%
Kotrbacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Blazek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 14:00J. Blazek—21090P. Kotrbacek—1112113
LAug 17 · 14:00J. Blazek—661171P. Kotrbacek—11119113
LApr 29 · 17:08J. Blazek—10740P. Kotrbacek—1211113
LApr 29 · 16:00J. Blazek—111687102P. Kotrbacek—9141111123
WApr 17 · 17:04J. Blazek—111111113P. Kotrbacek—139751
LApr 17 · 16:00J. Blazek—7101181P. Kotrbacek—11127113
LFeb 27 · 17:54J. Blazek—911561P. Kotrbacek—11611113
WFeb 27 · 14:15J. Blazek—71111113P. Kotrbacek—114761
LAug 12 · 15:00J. Blazek—106111252P. Kotrbacek—1211910113
LAug 4 · 16:27J. Blazek—115751P. Kotrbacek—81111113
J. Blazek10
WSep 8 · 16:00J. Blazek2.00711415113M. Melisek1.73118111352WSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113LSep 8 · 14:00P. Kotrbacek1.401112113J. Blazek2.7521090WSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113WSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113WAug 28 · 12:23J. Hanacek1.4081411592J. Blazek2.751112811113LAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113LAug 28 · 10:15J. Blazek2.6361080M. Vorel1.441112113
P. Kotrbacek10
WSep 8 · 15:30J. Hanacek1.8371181262P. Kotrbacek1.831171110113WSep 8 · 15:00P. Kotrbacek1.4411129113M. Melisek2.637101151WSep 8 · 14:00P. Kotrbacek1.401112113J. Blazek2.7521090WSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113WSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113WSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113WSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113WSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113
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