TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094601
Played Sep 8Finished
Petr Kotrbacek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1121210119––––
Jan Blazek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timePetr Kotrbacek to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Kotrbacek above · Jan Blazek below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Petr Kotrbacek at 70.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kotrbacek 11–3 Jan Blazek Jan Blazek has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kotrbacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-3 in 14
Kotrbacek
Correct
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotrbacek 1473 vs Blazek 1384
Kotrbacek
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotrbacek 80% vs Blazek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotrbacek 60% vs Blazek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotrbacek +1 · Blazek +3
Blazek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Kotrbacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blazek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotrbacek 1.40 / Blazek 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Kotrbacek)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094601
Kotrbacek1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 37 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Blazek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 48 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotrbacek7wins
AwayBlazek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKotrbacek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotrbacek62.5%5 of 8
AwayBlazekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotrbacek8Blazek2n = 10Kotrbacek took 8 of 10
S2Kotrbacek6Blazek4n = 10Kotrbacek took 6 of 10
S3Kotrbacek4Blazek6n = 10Blazek took 6 of 10
S4Kotrbacek5Blazek4n = 9Kotrbacek took 5 of 9
S5Kotrbacek2Blazek1n = 3Kotrbacek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotrbacekBlazekK − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.437.5+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotrbacekBlazekBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 269 vs 162 / 37746.8%43%126 / 269 vs 162 / 377Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotrbacekKotrbacek 1.40/Blazek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Kotrbacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kotrbacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 14:00P. Kotrbacek—11119113J. Blazek—661171
WApr 29 · 17:08P. Kotrbacek—1211113J. Blazek—10740
WApr 29 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek—9141111123J. Blazek—111687102
LApr 17 · 17:04P. Kotrbacek—139751J. Blazek—111111113
WApr 17 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek—11127113J. Blazek—7101181
WFeb 27 · 17:54P. Kotrbacek—11611113J. Blazek—911561
LFeb 27 · 14:15P. Kotrbacek—114761J. Blazek—71111113
WAug 12 · 15:00P. Kotrbacek—1211910113J. Blazek—106111252
WAug 4 · 16:27P. Kotrbacek—81111113J. Blazek—115751
LAug 4 · 15:30P. Kotrbacek—11118782J. Blazek—881111113
P. Kotrbacek10
WSep 8 · 15:00P. Kotrbacek1.4411129113M. Melisek2.637101151WSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113WSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113WSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113WSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113WSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113LSep 1 · 14:00T. Bertho1.61111617113P. Kotrbacek2.207141931WAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682
J. Blazek10
WSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113WSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113WSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113WAug 28 · 12:23J. Hanacek1.4081411592J. Blazek2.751112811113LAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113LAug 28 · 10:15J. Blazek2.6361080M. Vorel1.441112113LAug 28 · 09:15J. Blazek2.257290J. Hanacek1.571111113LAug 27 · 16:29J. Jnr1.801111123J. Blazek1.9176100
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