TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362474
Played Aug 5Finished
Michael Hasman
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151315116114––
David Sabuka
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeMichael Hasman to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichael Hasman above · David Sabuka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 76 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Michael Hasman at 60.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Michael Hasman 2–0 David Sabuka David Sabuka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hasman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hasman 1440 vs Sabuka 1307
Hasman
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasman 80% vs Sabuka 60%
Hasman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasman 80% vs Sabuka 60%
Hasman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasman +4 · Sabuka +2
Hasman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Hasman) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sabuka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasman 1.50 / Sabuka 2.50
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Hasman)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362474
Hasman1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Sabuka2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 34 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHasman2wins
AwaySabuka0wins
Hasman leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHasmanSabukaH − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.523.5+16.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmanSabukaBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 136 vs 250 / 53254.4%47%74 / 136 vs 250 / 532Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmanHasman 1.50/Sabuka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Hasman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hasman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 5 · 08:39M. Hasman—1111113D. Sabuka—3590
WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hasman—111311113D. Sabuka—515641
M. Hasman10
WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113WAug 11 · 11:30M. Hasman1.8013912113J. Hanacek1.9111111061WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hasman1.7311611113J. Blazek2.00911861LAug 11 · 09:30M. Hasman2.00581181J. Jnr1.7311118113WAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113LAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113
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