TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12398898
Played Aug 11Finished
Michael Hasman
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13119111210116––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichael Hasman above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 83 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 55.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Michael Hasman 5–5 Josef Hanacek Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:22What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hasman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasman 1440 vs Hanacek 1492
Hanacek
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasman 80% vs Hanacek 40%
Hasman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasman 80% vs Hanacek 50%
Hasman
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasman +1 · Hanacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hasman) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasman 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hasman)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12398898
Hasman1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Hanacek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 39 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasman5wins
AwayHanacek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasman71.4%5 of 7
AwayHanacek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasman7Hanacek3n = 10Hasman took 7 of 10
S2Hasman4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Hasman5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Hasman5Hanacek3n = 8Hasman took 5 of 8
S5Hasman1Hanacek3n = 4Hanacek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmanHanacekHasman − HanacekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.737.0+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmanHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 136 vs 199 / 37853.7%52.7%73 / 136 vs 199 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmanHasman 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hasman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hasman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 05:15M. Hasman—11114123J. Hanacek—3711101
WJun 30 · 11:30M. Hasman—12811113J. Hanacek—1011691
WJun 16 · 12:48M. Hasman—11911113J. Hanacek—911591
LJun 16 · 11:45M. Hasman—10101111122J. Hanacek—121252143
WJun 10 · 08:29M. Hasman—1111113J. Hanacek—8480
LJun 10 · 07:30M. Hasman—51161162J. Hanacek—117114113
LJul 7 · 13:00M. Hasman—113841J. Hanacek—41111113
WJul 7 · 10:30M. Hasman—115119113J. Hanacek—51161162
LJun 23 · 20:39M. Hasman—11119972J. Hanacek—791111113
LJun 23 · 19:30M. Hasman—91190J. Hanacek—1113113
M. Hasman10
WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hasman1.7311611113J. Blazek2.00911861LAug 11 · 09:30M. Hasman2.00581181J. Jnr1.7311118113WAug 5 · 08:39D. Sabuka2.383590M. Hasman1.531111113WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hasman1.50111311113D. Sabuka2.50515641
J. Hanacek10
LSep 8 · 16:39M. Melisek2.00112187153J. Hanacek1.735111611132LSep 8 · 15:30J. Hanacek1.8371181262P. Kotrbacek1.831171110113LSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113LSep 8 · 13:30J. Hanacek1.5710101161M. Melisek2.2512126113WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192
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