TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094721
Played Sep 8Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121012116611––
Marian Melisek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Marian Melisek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 59.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 18–14 Marian Melisek Marian Melisek has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hanacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-14 in 32
Hanacek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1386 vs Melisek 1384
Hanacek
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 20% vs Melisek 40%
Melisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 30% vs Melisek 50%
Melisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek +1 · Melisek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 1.57 / Melisek 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hanacek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094721
Hanacek1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
11%takes the first set · 1 of 9
As favourite55% won 68 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it84% 46 of 55
Melisek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 63 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanacek8wins
AwayMelisek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHanacek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanacek100%5 of 5
AwayMelisek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek5Melisek5n = 10split evenly
S2Hanacek5Melisek5n = 10split evenly
S3Hanacek6Melisek4n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S4Hanacek7Melisek3n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10
S5Hanacek3Melisek0n = 3Hanacek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHanacekMelisekH − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.838.6+4.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 437 vs 223 / 46251.7%48.3%226 / 437 vs 223 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekHanacek 1.57/Melisek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek—891211113M. Melisek—111110622
WAug 30 · 13:30J. Hanacek—111011113M. Melisek—612761
LAug 28 · 10:45J. Hanacek—5111081M. Melisek—11712113
WAug 18 · 11:30J. Hanacek—111311113M. Melisek—815661
LAug 8 · 15:30J. Hanacek—712741M. Melisek—111011103
WAug 7 · 09:30J. Hanacek—511912113M. Melisek—118111052
WAug 5 · 13:30J. Hanacek—11117113M. Melisek—881191
WAug 3 · 14:00J. Hanacek—61111113M. Melisek—116941
WJul 15 · 14:00J. Hanacek—1151111123M. Melisek—911513102
WJun 16 · 09:15J. Hanacek—11718113M. Melisek—2111691
J. Hanacek10
LSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161
M. Melisek10
LSep 8 · 15:00P. Kotrbacek1.4411129113M. Melisek2.637101151WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 12:00M. Melisek2.2011811842M. Vorel1.61511311113LSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832WSep 1 · 10:00J. Jnr1.735890M. Melisek2.001111113LAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622WAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122LAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek2.20612761J. Hanacek1.61111011113WAug 28 · 12:54M. Vorel1.5311581282M. Melisek2.384111110113
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M. Melisek
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