TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099687
Played Sep 8Finished
Marian Melisek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11521118167111513
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMarian Melisek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 18-16
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 109 set 5, 15-13
109 points played in total.
H2H Marian Melisek 15–18 Josef Hanacek Marian Melisek has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Melisek beat Hanacek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelisek 2.00 / Hanacek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hanacek)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13099687
Melisek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 63 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Hanacek1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite55% won 68 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it84% 46 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelisek3wins
AwayHanacek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHanacek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelisek50%3 of 6
AwayHanacek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melisek6Hanacek4n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S2Melisek5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Melisek4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S4Melisek4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S5Melisek0Hanacek3n = 3Hanacek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelisekHanacekM − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.941.8−2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelisekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 461 vs 226 / 44048.4%51.4%223 / 461 vs 226 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekMelisek 2.00/Hanacek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Melisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 13:30M. Melisek—12126113J. Hanacek—10101161
LAug 30 · 16:33M. Melisek—111110622J. Hanacek—891211113
LAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek—612761J. Hanacek—111011113
WAug 28 · 10:45M. Melisek—11712113J. Hanacek—5111081
LAug 18 · 11:30M. Melisek—815661J. Hanacek—111311113
WAug 8 · 15:30M. Melisek—111011103J. Hanacek—712741
LAug 7 · 09:30M. Melisek—118111052J. Hanacek—511912113
LAug 5 · 13:30M. Melisek—881191J. Hanacek—11117113
LAug 3 · 14:00M. Melisek—116941J. Hanacek—61111113
LJul 15 · 14:00M. Melisek—911513102J. Hanacek—1151111123
M. Melisek10
LSep 8 · 16:00J. Blazek2.00711415113M. Melisek1.73118111352LSep 8 · 15:00P. Kotrbacek1.4411129113M. Melisek2.637101151WSep 8 · 13:30J. Hanacek1.5710101161M. Melisek2.2512126113WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 12:00M. Melisek2.2011811842M. Vorel1.61511311113LSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832WSep 1 · 10:00J. Jnr1.735890M. Melisek2.001111113LAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622WAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122LAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113
J. Hanacek10
LSep 8 · 15:30J. Hanacek1.8371181262P. Kotrbacek1.831171110113LSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113LSep 8 · 13:30J. Hanacek1.5710101161M. Melisek2.2512126113WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622
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