TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088721
Played Sep 7Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11651112103111311
Vojtech Toman
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:09 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Vojtech Toman below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 93 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 57.4%
93 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 6–3 Vojtech Toman Vojtech Toman has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:09What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Bertho
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1463 vs Toman 1560
Toman
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 40% vs Toman 100%
Toman
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 50% vs Toman 70%
Toman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho +1 · Toman +5
Toman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Toman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.67 / Toman 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Bertho)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088721
Bertho1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 78 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it79% 61 of 77
Toman2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBertho6wins
AwayToman3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderBertho leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerthon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayToman28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho2Toman7n = 9Toman took 7 of 9
S2Bertho6Toman3n = 9Bertho took 6 of 9
S3Bertho6Toman3n = 9Bertho took 6 of 9
S4Bertho3Toman4n = 7Toman took 4 of 7
S5Bertho3Toman0n = 3Bertho took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricBerthoTomanB − TBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match38.436.8+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoTomanBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 647 vs 46 / 9052.9%51.1%342 / 647 vs 46 / 90Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.67/Toman 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LDec 3 · 19:15T. Bertho—6480V. Toman—1111113
WNov 23 · 20:00T. Bertho—381111123V. Toman—111149102
WNov 21 · 19:30T. Bertho—313115113V. Toman—111171192
WOct 2 · 20:23T. Bertho—1111113V. Toman—6950
LOct 2 · 18:30T. Bertho—118791V. Toman—71111103
WMay 13 · 21:00T. Bertho—101111113V. Toman—126661
WMay 13 · 19:00T. Bertho—1011119113V. Toman—12831192
LMar 12 · 21:37T. Bertho—9111081V. Toman—11912113
WMar 12 · 19:30T. Bertho—61111113V. Toman—116931
T. Bertho10
WSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113
V. Toman10
LSep 7 · 19:45V. Toman1.91118981J. Tichy1.8081111113WSep 7 · 17:45Z. Kuksa1.5385110V. Toman2.381111133WSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WSep 2 · 14:00V. Toman1.671111113M. Vorel2.107570WAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133WAug 26 · 15:30V. Toman1.671111113F. Schmidtmayer2.105860LAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872
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