TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088915
Played Sep 7Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 1
Set by set
1181198111010––
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-10
Point 78 set 4, 10-10 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 29–18 Zdenek Kuksa Zdenek Kuksa has won 18 of their 47 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-18 in 47
Bertho
Correct
gap of 11 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1476 vs Kuksa 1503
Kuksa
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 60% vs Kuksa 40%
Bertho
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 50% vs Kuksa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho +2 · Kuksa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.73 / Kuksa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bertho)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088915
Bertho1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 78 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it79% 61 of 77
Kuksa2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 54 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho6wins
AwayKuksa4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho66.7%4 of 6
AwayKuksa50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho6Kuksa4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S2Bertho7Kuksa3n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S3Bertho3Kuksa7n = 10Kuksa took 7 of 10
S4Bertho6Kuksa3n = 9Bertho took 6 of 9
S5Bertho2Kuksa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoKuksaB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.940.0+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 648 vs 252 / 50052.9%50.4%343 / 648 vs 252 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.73/Kuksa 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–1
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 09:15T. Bertho—111111113Z. Kuksa—139671
WJul 13 · 10:00T. Bertho—1111113Z. Kuksa—6780
WJun 19 · 07:15T. Bertho—13119113Z. Kuksa—1181151
WJun 15 · 08:58T. Bertho—11911113Z. Kuksa—811881
LJun 15 · 06:30T. Bertho—11101141Z. Kuksa—71213113
WJun 1 · 07:30T. Bertho—411811113Z. Kuksa—11811752
WMay 29 · 08:34T. Bertho—11111110113Z. Kuksa—64131252
LMay 29 · 07:30T. Bertho—611911102Z. Kuksa—119119123
LMay 15 · 14:15T. Bertho—1195131Z. Kuksa—91111153
LApr 27 · 06:00T. Bertho—911411112Z. Kuksa—119117133
T. Bertho10
WSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112WSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113WSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:45Z. Kuksa1.5385110V. Toman2.381111133WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113LAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113
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