TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089315
Played Sep 7Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117113611115
Jiri Tichy
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:01 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Jiri Tichy below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 85 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 57.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 1–0 Jiri Tichy Jiri Tichy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:01What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tichy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1451 vs Tichy 1476
Tichy
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 40% vs Tichy 20%
Bertho
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 50% vs Tichy 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho -2 · Tichy -4
Tichy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.83 / Tichy 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bertho)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089315
Bertho1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Tichy1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBertho1wins
AwayTichy0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBertho leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBerthoTichyB − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.035.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 646 vs 104 / 21552.8%48.4%341 / 646 vs 104 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.83/Tichy 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 3 · 20:00T. Bertho—111189113J. Tichy—41111182
T. Bertho10
WSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113
J. Tichy10
LSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113WSep 7 · 19:45V. Toman1.91118981J. Tichy1.8081111113LSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LAug 26 · 20:38S. Kalensky1.7311101311113J. Tichy2.0081215842LAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 18:30J. Tichy1.8010770S. Kalensky1.911211113LAug 26 · 17:30J. Tichy2.007760V. Herrmann1.731111113WAug 23 · 08:48D. Brichacek1.44811971J. Tichy2.6311811113LAug 23 · 07:45J. Tichy2.258770D. Brichacek1.571111113WAug 23 · 06:15P. Hala1.61715119102J. Tichy2.201113311123
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