TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088839
Played Sep 7Finished
Zdenek Kuksa
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8115111113––––
Vojtech Toman
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeVojtech Toman to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Vojtech Toman below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 59 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Vojtech Toman at 70.7%
59 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 1–0 Vojtech Toman Vojtech Toman has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kuksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuksa 1503 vs Toman 1548
Toman
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuksa 20% vs Toman 100%
Toman
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuksa 30% vs Toman 70%
Toman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuksa +1 · Toman +5
Toman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kuksa) · live re-read · sealed at 29% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Toman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 1.53 / Toman 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kuksa)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088839
Kuksa1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 80 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 63 of 84
Toman2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKuksa1wins
AwayToman0wins
Kuksa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKuksaTomanK − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaTomanBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 498 vs 45 / 8950.4%50.6%251 / 498 vs 45 / 89Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaKuksa 1.53/Toman 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Toman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 16 · 05:29Z. Kuksa—1111113V. Toman—9740
Z. Kuksa10
LSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113LAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113LAug 27 · 13:15T. Hanke2.0011114113Z. Kuksa1.73751161
V. Toman10
LSep 7 · 19:45V. Toman1.91118981J. Tichy1.8081111113LSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112WSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WSep 2 · 14:00V. Toman1.671111113M. Vorel2.107570WAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133WAug 26 · 15:30V. Toman1.671111113F. Schmidtmayer2.105860LAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872
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