TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100745
Played Sep 9Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210112––––
Adam Dvoracek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 55 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 60.5%
55 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1474 vs Dvoracek 1430
Bertho
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 80% vs Dvoracek 20%
Bertho
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 60% vs Dvoracek 30%
Bertho
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho +1 · Dvoracek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.61 / Dvoracek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Bertho)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13100745
Bertho1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 80 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it80% 62 of 78
Dvoracek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 55 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 651 vs 249 / 47553%52.4%345 / 651 vs 249 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.61/Dvoracek 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bertho won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Bertho10
WSep 9 · 05:45T. Bertho1.8311116133M. Vorel1.837811111LSep 7 · 20:44V. Toman2.201311113T. Bertho1.6111870WSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112WSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170WSep 8 · 09:03J. Puk2.00691171A. Dvoracek1.7311117113LSep 8 · 08:00A. Dvoracek1.441012481J. Puk2.63121011113LSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651LSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103
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